TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Jazz, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$554,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$593,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd780…f9eabacked Jazz8c121,000$9,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,68010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00f…db97backed Jazz10c75,782$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5004533.3%15 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz8c35,261$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,886.996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz8c15,036$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.011,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Jazz8c12,750$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9946342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb21b…5e09backed Jazz9c10,022$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0062…6cf7backed Jazz9c10,020$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz19c9,914$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.263,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Pacers78c7,000$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54028347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Jazz9c6,746$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.6248046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06ee…ed7bbacked Jazz23c6,472$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.56933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Jazz4c6,465$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.768129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Jazz24c5,809$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40022457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ab…b360backed Jazz2c5,008$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Jazz9c5,000$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44128341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Jazz0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz15c4,605$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.6570640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Jazz7c3,702$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1523648.7%115 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz2c3,180$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.158783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Jazz16c3,158$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.2136247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz7c3,156$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.921,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Jazz8c2,953$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Jazz18c2,792$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz15c2,735$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.595,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Jazz8c2,706$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.518827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Jazz1c1,900$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6818518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Jazz17c1,884$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32526934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Jazz8c1,578$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2319149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz8c1,262$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Jazz8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006429.7%19 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Jazz16c1,235$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6366853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7e…cb66backed Jazz9c1,054$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…54d4backed Jazz16c1,028$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.52330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcbb5…510dbacked Pacers76c1,025$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.456651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jazz3c1,025$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.757502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz16c1,023$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz25c1,000$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.91,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Jazz7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Jazz18c999.61$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3847229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Jazz18c961.49$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.071822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x416c…14f4backed Jazz9c833.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b9…23c2backed Jazz9c747.84$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5199…d64dbacked Jazz9c744.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz14c739.84$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1937011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649c…6e4fbacked Jazz10c708.65$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.872015%3 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Jazz25c606.97$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2819451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Jazz7c598.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8930826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Jazz8c562.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4516617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…a18bbacked Jazz16c521.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-48.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9036434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Jazz21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2739843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Jazz9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Jazz10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023555.3%130 W · 105 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9011…311cbacked Jazz10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+455.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c35…1a76backed Jazz9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a43…d49fbacked Jazz15c444$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Jazz7c430$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.115613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Jazz19c400$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7920…74bdbacked Jazz10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+270.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz8c399.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3272341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Jazz12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405450%27 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf78f…595fbacked Jazz9c266.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.97540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Jazz19c226.32$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Jazz10c224$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.411144.1%49 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2f2…7a3bbacked Jazz9c222.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.04650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+77.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jazz7c221$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4787647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Jazz10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Jazz9c199.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Jazz20c197$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6771747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Jazz11c185$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3516919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4964…4fddbacked Jazz23c157$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.76850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz10c156$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe469…0363backed Jazz9c151.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Jazz9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.568642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Jazz8c137.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa241…cb72backed Jazz9c132.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c5…20debacked Jazz8c129.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.440%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8d…1d32backed Jazz16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207143.7%31 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x433b…58debacked Jazz8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105726.3%15 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a0f…0536backed Jazz16c122.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204250%21 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz17c107.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.091,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Jazz12c101.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213021.5%28 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Pacers69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3195848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2c…a0a4backed Jazz20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206043.3%26 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc875…70f0backed Jazz10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfab4…5e4cbacked Jazz10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.44per pick32cpaid+153.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Jazz20c98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.635235.2%124 W · 228 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…e26cbacked Jazz15c73.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0712651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Pacers76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1220443.6%89 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Pacers80c46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.222950.7%116 W · 113 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Pacers79c18.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9916446.3%76 W · 88 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.