CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f4160a0e3eeb6b1c273b79d79b488df62aec23b6a8fd9a3332350c329b18573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof ex-MANA eSports, Prestige
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Prestige | 43c | 485.64$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.32 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 480.44$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.79 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Prestige | 38c | 460.48$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 440.29$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.56 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 41c | 429.88$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Prestige | 47c | 424.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Prestige | 10c | 341.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…6d58backed ex-MANA eSports | 79c | 340.72$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Prestige | 35c | 326.29$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Prestige | 44c | 310$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed ex-MANA eSports | 60c | 237.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 232.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 227.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Prestige | 21c | 222$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Prestige | 39c | 210$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed ex-MANA eSports | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Prestige | 51c | 183$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed ex-MANA eSports | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Prestige | 45c | 162.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Prestige | 54c | 134$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Prestige | 55c | 133.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 59c | 124.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 58c | 88.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Prestige | 48c | 83.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked ex-MANA eSports | 54c | 82.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Prestige | 50c | 81.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Prestige | 51c | 79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 60c | 77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-MANA eSports | 54c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 60c | 73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Prestige | 44c | 70.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 68.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked ex-MANA eSports | 42c | 59.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Prestige | 53c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Prestige | 54c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked Prestige | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked ex-MANA eSports | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Prestige | 56c | 47.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Prestige | 46c | 46.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 46.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Prestige | 33c | 42.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed ex-MANA eSports | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed ex-MANA eSports | 62c | 39.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-MANA eSports | 52c | 39.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed ex-MANA eSports | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Prestige | 43c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 33.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 54c | 32.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d93fbacked Prestige | 34c | 30.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Prestige | 39c | 30.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 59c | 28.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Prestige | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Prestige - Map 1 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Prestige - Map 2 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.