TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. Monmouth Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monmouth Hawksof North Carolina A&T Aggies, Monmouth Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7aa8…56dbbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies47c1,913$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.221,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Monmouth Hawks53c1,148$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.591,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies2c999.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20570%0 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Monmouth Hawks80c864.87$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies25c673.83$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.331,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed North Carolina A&T Aggies19c579$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.011,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Monmouth Hawks73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13510846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked Monmouth Hawks73c498.43$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.837272.2%52 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Monmouth Hawks40c495.89$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.426642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed North Carolina A&T Aggies34c422.91$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3994036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Monmouth Hawks78c415.24$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.883,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Monmouth Hawks58c320.2$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.081,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Monmouth Hawks50c219$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.072,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed North Carolina A&T Aggies22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4423028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Monmouth Hawks80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4017062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies38c162$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.561,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed North Carolina A&T Aggies22c154.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9397447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Monmouth Hawks66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5218167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd682…1ae2backed North Carolina A&T Aggies10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-79.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Monmouth Hawks79c145.36$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5358345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa90…b224backed North Carolina A&T Aggies37c138.76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.89911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked North Carolina A&T Aggies34c129.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.934,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Monmouth Hawks46c116.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.441,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Monmouth Hawks79c110.35$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1744549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Monmouth Hawks51c105.63$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.191,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed North Carolina A&T Aggies19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked North Carolina A&T Aggies23c100.26$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.632,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked North Carolina A&T Aggies20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed North Carolina A&T Aggies20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed North Carolina A&T Aggies33c73.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4412537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…81a9backed Monmouth Hawks77c73.69$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.674257.1%24 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Monmouth Hawks47c72.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.232,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed North Carolina A&T Aggies58c72.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.253,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed North Carolina A&T Aggies31c71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.212,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed North Carolina A&T Aggies32c68.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5866831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed North Carolina A&T Aggies43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.512840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Monmouth Hawks63c43.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.345,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Monmouth Hawks65c42.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.732,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Monmouth Hawks55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.261,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Monmouth Hawks79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.325152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Monmouth Hawks70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5719237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Monmouth Hawks78c26.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.945953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Monmouth Hawks67c20.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8517647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Monmouth Hawks75c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.252744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Monmouth Hawks72c14.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fff…665bbacked Monmouth Hawks77c14.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.291729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.