Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Carolina Alves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x407aa3e4f80418d5fa59e60c902a4a2b5f5009450d1d6376411a3025696b1b76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carolina Alvesof Antonia Rivera, Carolina Alves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Antonia Rivera | 39c | 7,431$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.41 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Carolina Alves | 64c | 4,620$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.73 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Carolina Alves | 46c | 1,299$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.4 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Antonia Rivera | 47c | 1,151$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.53 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Carolina Alves | 54c | 1,116$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.34 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Carolina Alves | 57c | 984.75$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.75 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Antonia Rivera | 41c | 978.43$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.84 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Carolina Alves | 50c | 901$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.3 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Antonia Rivera | 25c | 681.74$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Antonia Rivera | 54c | 669.35$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.02 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Carolina Alves | 57c | 521.74$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.49 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Carolina Alves | 51c | 511.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.77 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Antonia Rivera | 49c | 498.65$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…cf78backed Antonia Rivera | 40c | 423.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Carolina Alves | 67c | 403.86$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Carolina Alves | 69c | 378.66$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Antonia Rivera | 41c | 374.51$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Carolina Alves | 64c | 354.95$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Antonia Rivera | 56c | 333.34$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.67 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Antonia Rivera | 51c | 307$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Antonia Rivera | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Antonia Rivera | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +18.4wins | +0.29per pick | 27cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carolina Alves | 54c | 299.78$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.07 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Antonia Rivera | 27c | 292$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Antonia Rivera | 27c | 292$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Antonia Rivera | 27c | 292$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Antonia Rivera | 27c | 292$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Antonia Rivera | 27c | 292$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Antonia Rivera | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Antonia Rivera | 28c | 241.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Carolina Alves | 54c | 227.15$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Antonia Rivera | 25c | 206$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Antonia Rivera | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Carolina Alves | 46c | 181.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Antonia Rivera | 16c | 168$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Antonia Rivera | 46c | 156.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…dc5abacked Antonia Rivera | 41c | 120.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…20f8backed Antonia Rivera | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Antonia Rivera | 25c | 93.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 121 | 7.4%9 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Carolina Alves | 69c | 91.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Antonia Rivera | 35c | 89.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Antonia Rivera | 46c | 86.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Antonia Rivera | 35c | 86.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Carolina Alves | 53c | 76.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Carolina Alves | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Carolina Alves | 59c | 53.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Antonia Rivera | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Carolina Alves | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Carolina Alves | 51c | 47.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Antonia Rivera | 33c | 46.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Antonia Rivera | 50c | 45.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Antonia Rivera | 53c | 44.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Antonia Rivera | 49c | 38.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Antonia Rivera | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Antonia Rivera | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Antonia Rivera | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Carolina Alves | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Carolina Alves | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.