Tennis · resolved market
Pau: Raphael Collignon vs Clement Tabur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4093551a487778f0e201c695ff460eb4b3befe84015f1149249edb984419575d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Collignonof Collignon, Tabur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tabur | 41c | 2,996$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.84 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tabur | 4c | 2,915$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Collignon | 53c | 2,215$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.05 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tabur | 4c | 807.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tabur | 4c | 456$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Collignon | 70c | 429.74$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Collignon | 59c | 338.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Collignon | 79c | 335.76$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Tabur | 12c | 274.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tabur | 12c | 224.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…6a55backed Collignon | 63c | 211.32$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Collignon | 69c | 209.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Collignon | 49c | 203.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Collignon | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Collignon | 64c | 197.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Collignon | 53c | 181.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tabur | 26c | 162.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Collignon | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Collignon | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Tabur | 48c | 113.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Tabur | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Collignon | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Collignon | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tabur | 27c | 99.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Tabur | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Collignon | 73c | 68.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Tabur | 30c | 65.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Tabur | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Collignon | 71c | 47.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tabur | 34c | 42.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Collignon | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…16ccbacked Collignon | 56c | 33.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Collignon | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…6819backed Collignon | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Collignon | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…6894backed Tabur | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…aa8ebacked Collignon | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Collignon | 77c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.