Tennis · resolved market
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Hugo Grenier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x410a2dd4b6c48fc635933b6c851e7a7e347114c64aaeab2f68671fa24752a244
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grenierof Blancaneaux, Grenier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blancaneaux | 54c | 9,146$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.22 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Grenier | 50c | 6,889$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.44 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Grenier | 51c | 6,548$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.2 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Blancaneaux | 51c | 5,324$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.7 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Grenier | 50c | 5,189$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.66 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Blancaneaux | 49c | 4,804$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.77 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Grenier | 45c | 2,904$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.57 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Blancaneaux | 45c | 2,148$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grenier | 61c | 1,961$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Grenier | 52c | 1,695$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.6 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Blancaneaux | 12c | 1,052$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Grenier | 51c | 1,037$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.35 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Grenier | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Blancaneaux | 54c | 928.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grenier | 57c | 805.4$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.68 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Grenier | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.58 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…a13dbacked Blancaneaux | 54c | 611.07$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.19 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Blancaneaux | 40c | 546.26$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.93 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Grenier | 29c | 481.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.48 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Blancaneaux | 44c | 431.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.65 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grenier | 47c | 401.22$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.21 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Grenier | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Blancaneaux | 54c | 361.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Blancaneaux | 62c | 242.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Grenier | 32c | 228.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.13 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Grenier | 46c | 225.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Grenier | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Blancaneaux | 53c | 139.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Grenier | 44c | 137.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Blancaneaux | 49c | 125.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked Grenier | 49c | 115.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…76b0backed Blancaneaux | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Grenier | 18c | 87.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Grenier | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ae…1464backed Grenier | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Blancaneaux | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…7cf2backed Blancaneaux | 76c | 59.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Grenier | 38c | 56.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Blancaneaux | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Blancaneaux | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grenier | 45c | 37.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Blancaneaux | 69c | 33.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Blancaneaux | 37c | 32.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…618ebacked Blancaneaux | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Grenier | 53c | 30.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…89edbacked Grenier | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Blancaneaux | 53c | 26.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Blancaneaux | 51c | 26.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Blancaneaux | 74c | 26.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Blancaneaux | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Blancaneaux | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Grenier | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…8fd5backed Grenier | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Grenier | 67c | 21.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…f25bbacked Grenier | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.