MLB · resolved market

Marlins vs. Mets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4123fc3eff4118db564c5134189309037814e080ac2e9ab7d68d3e7704da504b

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Metsof Marlins, Mets
Resolved: Aug 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,246,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,248,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,246,992 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Marlins	39c	1,100,070$427,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427,563.7	380	43.4%165 W · 215 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets	61c	821,884$503,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318,596.65	1,328	51.4%682 W · 646 L	+25.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets	61c	211,750$129,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82,582.36	359	52.4%188 W · 171 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Mets	61c	52,000$31,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,280	550	53.6%295 W · 255 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets	61c	34,967$21,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,640.03	1,530	50.5%772 W · 758 L	+20.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Marlins	38c	32,354$12,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,294.57	602	49.5%298 W · 304 L	+10.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Marlins	40c	22,001$8,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,800.4	338	45.9%155 W · 183 L	-15.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Marlins	38c	8,107$3,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,080.55	34	70.6%24 W · 10 L	+7.7wins	+0.23per pick	48cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets	62c	7,042$4,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,682.69	2,470	52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L	+17.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Marlins	0c	6,484$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.67	475	4.4%21 W · 454 L	-20.9wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mets	64c	5,262$3,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,912.14	432	47.2%204 W · 228 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Mets	62c	5,032$3,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,888.02	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee5b…0e96backed Marlins	37c	5,012$1,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,854.44	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Mets	62c	5,000$3,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,915	254	53.5%136 W · 118 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Mets	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	342	45%154 W · 188 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Mets	61c	4,773$2,891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,882.23	217	47%102 W · 115 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Mets	63c	4,134$2,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,541.36	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2745…17b3backed Mets	63c	3,340$2,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,235.8	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Mets	61c	3,333$2,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,299.87	981	49.8%489 W · 492 L	-12.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets	62c	3,221$1,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,223.05	482	54.4%262 W · 220 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Marlins	37c	3,106$1,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149.36	543	45.5%247 W · 296 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Marlins	39c	2,500$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965	301	51.5%155 W · 146 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins	37c	2,430$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.23	2,274	43.2%983 W · 1,291 L	+43.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mets	64c	2,421$1,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$868.27	439	49.4%217 W · 222 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mets	61c	2,348$1,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$905.71	1,212	52.1%631 W · 581 L	+21.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets	62c	2,247$1,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$853.86	1,132	48.9%553 W · 579 L	-16.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Mets	61c	2,000$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780	387	51.9%201 W · 186 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Mets	63c	1,946$1,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.84	230	60%138 W · 92 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets	62c	1,580$979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.72	631	52.6%332 W · 299 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Marlins	40c	1,508$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	225	46.2%104 W · 121 L	-10.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Marlins	39c	1,372$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535	390	41%160 W · 230 L	-22.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets	61c	1,291$788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.49	733	52.4%384 W · 349 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Marlins	39c	1,026$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	652	48.3%315 W · 337 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins	38c	1,023$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.74	508	43.3%220 W · 288 L	+21.8wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Mets	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	613	46.3%284 W · 329 L	+7.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets	62c	1,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	832	48%399 W · 433 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins	38c	789$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.82	1,293	46.6%603 W · 690 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Marlins	38c	693.99$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.72	245	47.3%116 W · 129 L	+21.2wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0afc…e1e4backed Mets	62c	657$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.66	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Marlins	39c	638.98$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.42	277	33.6%93 W · 184 L	+13.5wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Mets	62c	570.54$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.81	197	42.6%84 W · 113 L	-13.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Marlins	37c	540.54$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	563	51%287 W · 276 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Marlins	39c	516.34$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.9	466	31.1%145 W · 321 L	-11.8wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins	38c	510.55$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.01	513	47%241 W · 272 L	+32.0wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins	38c	508.27$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.98	850	47.4%403 W · 447 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Marlins	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins	38c	482$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.16	444	43%191 W · 253 L	+21.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Marlins	39c	462$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.18	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Mets	61c	400$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158	148	63.5%94 W · 54 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Marlins	38c	395$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.1	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Marlins	38c	394$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.72	313	47.9%150 W · 163 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Marlins	37c	383.43$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	129	39.5%51 W · 78 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Marlins	39c	350$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.5	1,360	44.3%602 W · 758 L	+45.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Mets	63c	320$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.4	917	49.9%458 W · 459 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Marlins	38c	300.32$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.51	731	49.4%361 W · 370 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Marlins	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	585	2.1%12 W · 573 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Marlins	36c	300$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	326	51.5%168 W · 158 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins	38c	263.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2,033	52.4%1,066 W · 967 L	-35.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins	38c	263.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2,267	53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L	-12.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Marlins	38c	250$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3ba…d03cbacked Mets	63c	238.59$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.28	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+4.6wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1257…0379backed Marlins	38c	238.5$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.63	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins	37c	225.68$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.5	444	56.5%251 W · 193 L	+21.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…ff23backed Mets	62c	216$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.08	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2,261	45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Mets	61c	200$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	338	52.1%176 W · 162 L	+15.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Marlins	17c	181.25$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.87	150	33.3%50 W · 100 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mets	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	1,250	52.2%653 W · 597 L	-5.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf60…8ebcbacked Mets	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+3.3wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Marlins	39c	148$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.72	1,466	44.1%647 W · 819 L	+44.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marlins	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	885	49.7%440 W · 445 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Marlins	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	255	51%130 W · 125 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Marlins	39c	126.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Marlins	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	478	50.4%241 W · 237 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Mets	62c	110.76$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.09	188	48.4%91 W · 97 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Marlins	38c	105.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	493	48.3%238 W · 255 L	+15.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mets	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	927	54.9%509 W · 418 L	-19.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e0…f941backed Mets	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Marlins	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	130	52.3%68 W · 62 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Marlins	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	149	49.7%74 W · 75 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Marlins	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Marlins	40c	62.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	544	41.2%224 W · 320 L	-22.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Mets	61c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.4	494	50%247 W · 247 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Marlins	37c	54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	1,137	46.3%526 W · 611 L	+36.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f2d…e348backed Marlins	37c	53.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	181	59.1%107 W · 74 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Marlins	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd287…7485backed Marlins	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	543	52.3%284 W · 259 L	+27.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c68…b1cfbacked Mets	63c	47.62$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.62	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	-6.2wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Mets	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	356	52.5%187 W · 169 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Marlins	38c	35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	342	57.6%197 W · 145 L	+25.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins	37c	34.68$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.83	1,097	50.1%550 W · 547 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f9…f053backed Mets	63c	33.03$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.22	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Mets	64c	31.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.3	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9abd…c0edbacked Marlins	41c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	337	50.4%170 W · 167 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be6…9beabacked Marlins	39c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1171…0fd0backed Marlins	39c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…b172backed Marlins	38c	29.95$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.38	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Marlins	37c	27.29$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1efc…0298backed Mets	60c	27$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets	63c	27$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.99	2,045	53.8%1,100 W · 945 L	+32.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Marlins vs. Metsthis page
Marlins vs. Mets: O/U 6.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Marlins vs. Mets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event