MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4155a78bb18f3b024362e56fd5cb0ec93c677840fd5385cd07a707049c78e408
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 55c | 1,545$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked LG Twins | 50c | 1,500$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.1 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed LG Twins | 49c | 1,246$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.51 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed NC Dinos | 69c | 837.11$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.89 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed NC Dinos | 51c | 503.19$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.41 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed NC Dinos | 52c | 499.95$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.97 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 50c | 465.1$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…170fbacked LG Twins | 30c | 418.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked LG Twins | 49c | 397.8$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.35 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked LG Twins | 52c | 385$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked LG Twins | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 295.68$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…bedabacked LG Twins | 41c | 265.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NC Dinos | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked LG Twins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed LG Twins | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed NC Dinos | 51c | 200.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed NC Dinos | 32c | 196.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 63c | 185.28$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed LG Twins | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 38c | 161.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked LG Twins | 31c | 159.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 154.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed LG Twins | 32c | 150$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…0a90backed LG Twins | 45c | 144.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed LG Twins | 41c | 133.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed LG Twins | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NC Dinos | 17c | 128.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked NC Dinos | 51c | 120.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed NC Dinos | 48c | 109.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked LG Twins | 22c | 109.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…4042backed LG Twins | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NC Dinos | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked NC Dinos | 50c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LG Twins | 57c | 85.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed NC Dinos | 51c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed NC Dinos | 51c | 78.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked LG Twins | 40c | 77.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 53c | 74.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 41c | 68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed NC Dinos | 55c | 65.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NC Dinos | 62c | 59.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 73c | 49.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…0534backed LG Twins | 40c | 49.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed NC Dinos | 50c | 49.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…742dbacked LG Twins | 45c | 48.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LG Twins | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked LG Twins | 65c | 47.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked LG Twins | 46c | 46.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed LG Twins | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked NC Dinos | 55c | 44.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…e950backed LG Twins | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…8473backed NC Dinos | 51c | 40.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NC Dinos | 72c | 40.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed NC Dinos | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f4…25fbbacked LG Twins | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed NC Dinos | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked NC Dinos | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 262 | 51.9%136 W · 126 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NC Dinos | 40c | 34.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed NC Dinos | 66c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed LG Twins | 40c | 31.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed NC Dinos | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed NC Dinos | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked NC Dinos | 51c | 28.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd0…e690backed NC Dinos | 50c | 28.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…b298backed LG Twins | 50c | 28.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked LG Twins | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed NC Dinos | 51c | 25.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked LG Twins | 41c | 25.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed NC Dinos | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed LG Twins | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed NC Dinos | 56c | 23.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…36d3backed NC Dinos | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…0a40backed LG Twins | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…095fbacked LG Twins | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…6bcfbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 22.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed NC Dinos | 53c | 22.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed NC Dinos | 51c | 21.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed NC Dinos | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LG Twins | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.