MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41736c49d821d25f746a3da18372e241a9f2dbb436fd88b9adac8110542b8d0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Los Angeles Angels | 10c | 27,419$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.98 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 20,286$9,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,013.08 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 19c | 18,714$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.45 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 17,856$9,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,698.74 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 5,734$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.75 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Los Angeles Angels | 14c | 5,133$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.18 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 4,916$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.94 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 4,641$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Los Angeles Angels | 12c | 3,397$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.98 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 2,646$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.94 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Los Angeles Angels | 16c | 1,934$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.49 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.91 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 977.15$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.94 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Los Angeles Angels | 27c | 715.59$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.76 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Los Angeles Angels | 14c | 669.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 637.89$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.22 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 611.62$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.34 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 564$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 555.79$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 482.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.65 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 272$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 112$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 91.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 68.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 60.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Los Angeles Angels | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 29.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 27.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.