MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41e13e34bac14e39fff45c2cd159dffcaebbb317a9ebd02760a050e6703c2243
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Phillies, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Phillies | 42c | 33,703$14,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,118.37 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Astros | 58c | 27,995$16,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,758 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 65c | 3,900$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Phillies | 16c | 3,280$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Phillies | 45c | 3,274$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Astros | 58c | 2,853$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.65 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Astros | 58c | 2,152$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Astros | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Astros | 61c | 1,638$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.72 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 41c | 1,550$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 42c | 1,496$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.32 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…a1a1backed Astros | 59c | 1,480$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 15c | 1,367$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.23 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Astros | 61c | 1,297$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.16 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…2e3abacked Phillies | 42c | 920$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 58c | 810$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 58c | 762$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.67 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Phillies | 32c | 754.17$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.85 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 44c | 715$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.1 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Astros | 62c | 632.06$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.59 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Astros | 58c | 619.05$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 57c | 579.57$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.21 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18be…add4backed Phillies | 42c | 577$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 43c | 568.43$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.51 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 38c | 549.48$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 57c | 538.92$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.74 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 57c | 520.43$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.78 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 76c | 495.78$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Phillies | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Astros | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 79c | 352$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 35c | 318.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Astros | 59c | 316.68$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Phillies | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Astros | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Phillies | 42c | 262.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Phillies | 42c | 239$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 59c | 210.17$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Phillies | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Astros | 60c | 179.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Astros | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Phillies | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Astros | 54c | 155.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 39c | 149.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Phillies | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Astros | 60c | 134.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Astros | 59c | 132.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Astros | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Phillies | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Astros | 58c | 111$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Phillies | 42c | 111$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Phillies | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Phillies | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Astros | 56c | 80.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 58c | 79.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…47e9backed Phillies | 42c | 69.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 30c | 68.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 63c | 60.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Phillies | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Astros | 57c | 59.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Astros | 58c | 59.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Phillies | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…da4abacked Astros | 59c | 55.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Astros | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Phillies | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 66c | 49.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Astros | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Astros | 66c | 34.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Astros | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Phillies | 43c | 32.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Phillies | 31c | 32.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Astros | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Phillies | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Phillies | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Astros | 58c | 27.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…4547backed Phillies | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 45c | 23.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5d…d892backed Astros | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Astros | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Astros | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.