MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42b321d25d2dfd744964886138f96cad37af89ce5d99290150f98196e6c042b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Giants, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $774,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $786,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $774,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Giants | 46c | 556,399$254,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254,941.54 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 55c | 173,076$94,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,155.98 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 54c | 149,395$80,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,721.77 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Braves | 54c | 46,444$25,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,364.24 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Braves | 54c | 43,800$23,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,148 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Braves | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Braves | 54c | 29,488$15,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,564.48 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Giants | 4c | 25,501$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.05 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Braves | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Giants | 45c | 18,110$8,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,149.38 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Giants | 4c | 9,644$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.94 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 54c | 8,700$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Braves | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Braves | 54c | 7,603$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.17 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 54c | 7,583$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 58c | 7,582$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.29 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Braves | 55c | 5,000$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.97 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Braves | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Braves | 54c | 3,800$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 55c | 3,560$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 70c | 2,927$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Braves | 54c | 2,800$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Braves | 54c | 2,260$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.45 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Giants | 46c | 2,177$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Giants | 4c | 1,960$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…f642backed Giants | 46c | 1,950$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.02 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe994…86ccbacked Braves | 54c | 1,950$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…c516backed Giants | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Braves | 55c | 1,743$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.35 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Giants | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…0717backed Braves | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Giants | 5c | 1,473$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…5ec6backed Giants | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…c8ecbacked Giants | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Braves | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…e2b5backed Braves | 54c | 1,119$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Giants | 45c | 1,050$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Giants | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…51a7backed Giants | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 55c | 987$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.15 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 54c | 972$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…b27cbacked Braves | 54c | 954$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…35a4backed Braves | 54c | 946$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Giants | 45c | 937.78$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 4c | 900.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Giants | 47c | 850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Giants | 11c | 826.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Braves | 55c | 823$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.35 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Braves | 53c | 809.35$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.39 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Giants | 46c | 769.98$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Braves | 56c | 651.79$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.79 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Giants | 45c | 611.78$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.3 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Giants | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Braves | 55c | 555$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 60c | 548.4$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Giants | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Braves | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Giants | 5c | 478.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b57…198fbacked Giants | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Giants | 28c | 422$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Giants | 45c | 401.06$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.67 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 76c | 379.48$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 3c | 338.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Giants | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Giants | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Giants | 5c | 312.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Braves | 56c | 304.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants | 46c | 297.93$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.05 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 15c | 241.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367f…c41abacked Braves | 54c | 237.06$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Giants | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Giants | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Giants | 45c | 219.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Giants | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Braves | 67c | 215.1$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…ed39backed Giants | 22c | 205.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Giants | 29c | 203.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Giants | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Giants | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Giants | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Braves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Giants | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…fbe3backed Braves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Giants | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…c492backed Braves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Braves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…ee08backed Giants | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed Giants | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…9abcbacked Braves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…43dfbacked Giants | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Braves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…5a20backed Braves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…8edfbacked Braves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…7de9backed Braves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977e…910bbacked Giants | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b01…aeb1backed Braves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.