Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Schoenhaus (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43b3ecad2df2030e531864a9b2186e42775002a223b3c2a33e8c200ef8a9ae8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tienof Tien, Schoenhaus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Tien | 60c | 619.07$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.07 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Schoenhaus | 43c | 599.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.92 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Tien | 57c | 277.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Schoenhaus | 39c | 257.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Tien | 69c | 224.17$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Schoenhaus | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Tien | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Tien | 59c | 187.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Schoenhaus | 40c | 157.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Tien | 62c | 147.58$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Tien | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Schoenhaus | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Tien | 58c | 97.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Schoenhaus | 42c | 97.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Schoenhaus | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Schoenhaus | 43c | 87.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Schoenhaus | 46c | 65.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Schoenhaus | 43c | 62.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Schoenhaus | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Schoenhaus | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Schoenhaus | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Tien | 56c | 49.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…8821backed Tien | 58c | 39.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Schoenhaus | 40c | 39.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Schoenhaus | 44c | 37.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…a3adbacked Tien | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Schoenhaus | 41c | 31.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Tien | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Schoenhaus | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked Tien | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Schoenhaus (+1.5)this page
- Halle Open: Max Schoenhaus vs Learner TienLearner Tien won
- Schoenhaus vs. Tien: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.