Tennis · resolved market
Halle Open: Max Schoenhaus vs Learner Tien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3127b0618239bceb01a61d331a6433cbaab7a8a8229d6982eaa3a8dfbd15946c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Learner Tienof Max Schoenhaus, Learner Tien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Max Schoenhaus | 7c | 10,601$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.15 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa81c…3d28backed Max Schoenhaus | 4c | 9,237$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…1090backed Max Schoenhaus | 17c | 7,305$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.78 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Max Schoenhaus | 6c | 5,100$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Max Schoenhaus | 5c | 3,734$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.86 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Max Schoenhaus | 15c | 3,131$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.64 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Max Schoenhaus | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Max Schoenhaus | 5c | 2,804$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Max Schoenhaus | 16c | 2,667$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.65 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Max Schoenhaus | 16c | 2,638$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.12 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Max Schoenhaus | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Max Schoenhaus | 17c | 2,426$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.25 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Max Schoenhaus | 6c | 2,230$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Max Schoenhaus | 6c | 2,182$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Max Schoenhaus | 8c | 2,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Max Schoenhaus | 11c | 1,796$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.77 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Max Schoenhaus | 16c | 1,712$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.86 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Max Schoenhaus | 18c | 1,655$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.95 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Max Schoenhaus | 17c | 1,468$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Max Schoenhaus | 3c | 1,348$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Max Schoenhaus | 18c | 1,283$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.45 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Max Schoenhaus | 15c | 1,130$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Max Schoenhaus | 17c | 1,019$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Max Schoenhaus | 19c | 999.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.46 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Max Schoenhaus | 3c | 862.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Max Schoenhaus | 5c | 833.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Max Schoenhaus | 9c | 819.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Max Schoenhaus | 7c | 757.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Max Schoenhaus | 17c | 740.76$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Max Schoenhaus | 14c | 685.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Max Schoenhaus | 15c | 667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Max Schoenhaus | 16c | 662$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Max Schoenhaus | 17c | 599.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6581…f4ddbacked Max Schoenhaus | 6c | 517.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Max Schoenhaus | 16c | 469$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…c150backed Max Schoenhaus | 8c | 367.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Max Schoenhaus | 18c | 338.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Max Schoenhaus | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Max Schoenhaus | 7c | 330.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…0cc9backed Max Schoenhaus | 8c | 300.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Max Schoenhaus | 4c | 279.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Max Schoenhaus | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Max Schoenhaus | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Max Schoenhaus | 8c | 246$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Max Schoenhaus | 6c | 238.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Max Schoenhaus | 19c | 211$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Max Schoenhaus | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Max Schoenhaus | 17c | 190.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10dd…4831backed Max Schoenhaus | 18c | 190$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Max Schoenhaus | 18c | 182.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Max Schoenhaus | 17c | 146.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Max Schoenhaus | 19c | 139.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Max Schoenhaus | 19c | 130.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Max Schoenhaus | 18c | 130.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…ee2fbacked Max Schoenhaus | 17c | 110.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Max Schoenhaus | 16c | 108.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Max Schoenhaus | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Max Schoenhaus | 16c | 95.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Max Schoenhaus | 18c | 86.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Max Schoenhaus | 16c | 76.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Max Schoenhaus | 21c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Learner Tien | 79c | 69.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Max Schoenhaus | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Learner Tien | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Learner Tien | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Halle Open: Max Schoenhaus vs Learner Tienthis page
- Schoenhaus vs. Tien: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Schoenhaus (+1.5)Tien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.