Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 1 Algeria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44cede0b478b07759cd0e32955bbab9df344609195df433b2f86ce4d50e9f5fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 23,996$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Yes | 15c | 3,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…7e0dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Yes | 17c | 1,636$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9c…2aeebacked Yes | 14c | 1,357$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…990fbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…ac8dbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…49a9backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 12c | 604.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…aaffbacked Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 579.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…87efbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…62febacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…e49abacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 16c | 304$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6842backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…aaf5backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 26.7%28 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 10c | 184.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…1fb5backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…ecb7backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…ffbabacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…0ab3backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…15dbbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 28.6%73 W · 182 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…cc98backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cda…de81backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 19c | 141.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 14c | 138.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc645…0072backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…cb2dbacked Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…9364backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 34.5%41 W · 78 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 13c | 111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…cad2backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6403…0318backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…2c34backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…1a28backed Yes | 14c | 102.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…587fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…4b0abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6899backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 16.2%23 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…1baabacked Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…a49cbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…0296backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…a65ebacked Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 77.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 80c | 71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 15c | 67.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…91a8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 1 Algeria?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria?Yes won
- Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 3 Algeria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.