CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x452ec42838292e6aefe435acca4bbda80e670b326ab38f276d83560507e26090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, INOX Division
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf424…9723backed TDK | 47c | 8,423$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,424.45 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked INOX Division | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.99 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TDK | 45c | 2,031$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.6 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed INOX Division | 46c | 1,368$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.43 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TDK | 37c | 991$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.59 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 47c | 593.57$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.43 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked INOX Division | 51c | 527.62$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.47 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked INOX Division | 52c | 527.45$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.14 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed INOX Division | 76c | 500.92$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.1 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked TDK | 55c | 450.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.86 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed INOX Division | 40c | 448.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked INOX Division | 48c | 426$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed INOX Division | 55c | 392.28$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.52 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked INOX Division | 45c | 379.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 434 | 37.6%163 W · 271 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked INOX Division | 56c | 379.93$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.51 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed TDK | 42c | 301.26$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.36 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked INOX Division | 46c | 285.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked TDK | 55c | 181.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.36 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 42c | 171.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed INOX Division | 41c | 160$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked TDK | 44c | 154.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed TDK | 28c | 140.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked TDK | 55c | 132.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 21c | 132.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed TDK | 34c | 118.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked TDK | 37c | 116.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed INOX Division | 47c | 109.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed TDK | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed INOX Division | 48c | 94.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed TDK | 50c | 92.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed TDK | 18c | 80.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TDK | 52c | 78.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked TDK | 41c | 74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…dcbebacked INOX Division | 50c | 72.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed TDK | 53c | 68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TDK | 51c | 66.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…b972backed TDK | 54c | 61.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed INOX Division | 60c | 58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked TDK | 48c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked INOX Division | 53c | 53.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed INOX Division | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed INOX Division | 48c | 46.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed INOX Division | 47c | 46.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed INOX Division | 61c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed INOX Division | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…e2c0backed INOX Division | 59c | 42.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…675cbacked TDK | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked TDK | 57c | 30.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed INOX Division | 50c | 29.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed TDK | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed TDK | 53c | 24.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked TDK | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs INOX Division - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.