TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Athletics, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$490,845
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$494,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,845 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels50c396,716$197,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198,988.2338043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics50c199,942$99,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,971.161,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics50c167,030$84,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,077.3835952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics51c16,635$8,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,422.591,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics34c12,442$4,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,283.421,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Angels51c11,901$6,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,811.6633845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Angels49c9,366$4,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,786.3330842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics50c7,500$3,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,77556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Athletics50c7,443$3,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,721.530255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Angels73c6,481$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.5111345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc9dd…a1d9backed Angels48c5,300$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7562445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Athletics52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6004854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics49c3,227$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.311,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Athletics51c3,200$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,63211553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Angels56c3,085$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.5269249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Athletics49c2,584$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.1843949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Athletics36c2,529$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.6478445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Angels70c2,277$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.7521847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Athletics51c2,271$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.13554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Angels50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00028042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Angels50c1,599$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.6639041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Athletics51c1,422$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.225451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels48c1,200$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.3683248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Athletics30c1,157$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.879,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Athletics51c1,086$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.9573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Athletics40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Athletics49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49032651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Athletics50c960$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48020748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Angels50c807.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.7165248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics52c768.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.871,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics51c742$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.421,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Angels48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36457744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels69c695.05$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.044,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Angels50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30030151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Athletics43c560$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.326650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked Athletics50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Angels49c487$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.379240.2%37 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Angels49c459$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7617946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Angels47c424.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.151,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Athletics52c420.44$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.6322142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Athletics26c396.51$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9315033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba56…b1e3backed Angels48c364.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.585742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics26c314.11$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.482,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Angels69c310.03$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics52c309.56$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3780955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Angels64c283$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.886,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefaa…0af8backed Athletics17c250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59c0…cd82backed Athletics52c249.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Athletics51c240.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.923248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Athletics53c218.35$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7320747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Angels48c209.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7910143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Angels48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3326055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Athletics53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11099951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Athletics51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…c811backed Angels50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Athletics53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10678454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Angels48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Athletics53c188$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6424346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Angels48c152$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Athletics53c145.81$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2810459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Athletics53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d1d…5ffabacked Angels78c138.23$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.181533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Angels49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4514146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57f…ad4fbacked Angels48c117.56$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.13450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc8…5671backed Athletics53c117.19$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x771c…5284backed Angels48c104.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4592…3d1cbacked Athletics53c103.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels67c102.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9970841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1451…2915backed Angels49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.043551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics33c102$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Athletics31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3145732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Athletics52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5235245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Angels49c97.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.549254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Athletics52c96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9231347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Angels48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3349348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f8…1affbacked Angels49c81.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7611147.7%53 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Athletics39c77.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.237035.7%25 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb4…f8dabacked Angels75c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.751747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36cc…e776backed Angels48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.57936.7%29 W · 50 L-10.2wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics50c60.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.212,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Athletics24c58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9218446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Athletics51c57.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4466250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Athletics38c55.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30b6…0d6dbacked Angels70c53.57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.073545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df4…113dbacked Angels48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.084042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Athletics39c50.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.961,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Athletics52c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.434257.6%197 W · 145 L+25.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Angels48c43.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Athletics52c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0165549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Athletics50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3635…17c8backed Athletics53c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1418958.2%110 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1181…509abacked Athletics53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017146.2%79 W · 92 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88c…2f53backed Athletics52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.225857%147 W · 111 L+14.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6360…c981backed Athletics52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.225255.6%140 W · 112 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d4f…3d87backed Athletics51c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.328456%47 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.