Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x457ca290a7e4f57f2eebcb45ca39a6752305fcd83004632697ddea9e20b51381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 2,125$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.85 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 1,463$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64eb…6bcabacked Yes | 15c | 1,003$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +5.5wins | +0.40per pick | 18cpaid | +207.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Yes | 50c | 999.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.57 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 34c | 956.29$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.53 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked Yes | 9c | 950.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.84 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 70c | 633$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.12 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 45c | 618.64$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.56 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed No | 71c | 549.6$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.6 | 275 | 43.6%120 W · 155 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…7a58backed Yes | 33c | 545.57$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.07 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 9c | 499.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.99 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 40c | 477.82$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 10c | 450$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…13f4backed Yes | 32c | 411.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.31 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 34c | 288.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.51 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 78c | 272.44$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 77c | 233.87$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 52c | 230.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 20c | 212.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked Yes | 20c | 212.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…ecb7backed Yes | 11c | 185.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…eca1backed Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca25…4fd7backed Yes | 9c | 161.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Yes | 18c | 117.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…5c60backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed No | 57c | 64.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…f127backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 48c | 36.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 38c | 28.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 46c | 23.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Neither team to score first?this page
- Cabo Verde to score first vs. Saudi Arabia?No won
- Saudi Arabia to score first vs. Cabo Verde?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.