Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde to score first vs. Saudi Arabia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c598cba724a0194656da39b832dd55a8570f7eca0c1b805e45d31dea8c150d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…d996backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,545$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,524$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.47 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 1,396$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.02 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,139$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.03 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 1,009$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…714cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 54c | 999.89$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.95 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 54c | 972.4$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.63 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 55c | 955$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.75 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 79c | 816.65$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.15 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 9c | 734.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 54c | 655.23$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.28 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…e789backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +14.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…aac5backed No | 55c | 233.95$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 45c | 209.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 47c | 201.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 54c | 179.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 162.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe439…d429backed Yes | 46c | 99.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6939…663bbacked Yes | 46c | 86.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 27c | 83.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…8fa3backed Yes | 46c | 63.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…1edbbacked Yes | 46c | 48.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…8aacbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d8…6b94backed Yes | 46c | 36.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 54c | 35.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 55c | 32.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…7ef0backed Yes | 46c | 28.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…5c60backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…33debacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde to score first vs. Saudi Arabia?this page
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Neither team to score first?Yes won
- Saudi Arabia to score first vs. Cabo Verde?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.