Mls · resolved market
Seattle Sounders FC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47d69fb5ea0ec3826f9b1a574d6939d5a6f8bc74ad1c32e1586b6ec75ad595f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0437…30f4backed No | 46c | 2,992$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 54c | 1,977$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.39 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 33c | 957.3$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.5 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 596.09$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.05 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 56c | 113.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 54c | 84.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 59c | 81.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 52.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 60c | 52.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 30.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 55c | 25.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Yes | 51c | 22.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Yes | 52c | 21.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 56c | 19.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)FC Dallas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.