Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x480269564e78a9ae3ba78bdcef4e61e448da572bf4d6523b71602dfa17aa92ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof REKONIX, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed REKONIX | 7c | 6,629$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.51 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed REKONIX | 20c | 3,444$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.81 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked REKONIX | 17c | 2,265$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.36 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 1,875$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 1,288$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.07 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked REKONIX | 20c | 1,266$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed REKONIX | 19c | 1,179$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.19 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 875.21$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 871$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed REKONIX | 21c | 621.82$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…1a6fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 590$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7b…f04bbacked REKONIX | 21c | 580.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked REKONIX | 20c | 538.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 504.14$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed REKONIX | 8c | 493.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 13c | 393.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX | 22c | 366$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 11c | 362.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked REKONIX | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked REKONIX | 9c | 268.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed REKONIX | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked REKONIX | 17c | 201.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…9704backed REKONIX | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed REKONIX | 18c | 186.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked REKONIX | 19c | 157.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8b…0644backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 132.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed REKONIX | 21c | 129.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed REKONIX | 19c | 125.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 110.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b83…b2e8backed REKONIX | 9c | 109$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed REKONIX | 21c | 101.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed REKONIX | 19c | 89.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked REKONIX | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed REKONIX | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 73.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…aa54backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked REKONIX | 20c | 62.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…b43bbacked REKONIX | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…75c7backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 31.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…c5d4backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…a00ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f8…04eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Dthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.