Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3800759d466d155ad1dfdda8ff278a888d27f09ccdff58c661e9e23ba6b60c41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof REKONIX, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 12,723$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.6 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed REKONIX | 20c | 10,004$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.05 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked REKONIX | 32c | 5,262$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.83 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked REKONIX | 1c | 4,501$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed REKONIX | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed REKONIX | 24c | 2,566$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.98 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 2,002$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.12 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed REKONIX | 24c | 1,919$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.28 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 1,486$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.14 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed REKONIX | 20c | 1,346$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.14 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed REKONIX | 22c | 999.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 541.19$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.01 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 535$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked REKONIX | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked REKONIX | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 441.53$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.54 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX | 30c | 414.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed REKONIX | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked REKONIX | 24c | 411.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed REKONIX | 25c | 408.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 24c | 404.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 24c | 400.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 374.01$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed REKONIX | 30c | 332.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 292.33$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7b…f04bbacked REKONIX | 29c | 276.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 270.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed REKONIX | 28c | 250$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 218.41$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 186.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed REKONIX | 11c | 184.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 183.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed REKONIX | 31c | 152.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 10c | 151.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked REKONIX | 25c | 137.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 134.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed REKONIX | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 109.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 154 | 65.6%101 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed REKONIX | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked REKONIX | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 94.08$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 89.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed REKONIX | 24c | 89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked REKONIX | 29c | 85.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 82.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed REKONIX | 26c | 79.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed REKONIX | 29c | 69.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed REKONIX | 27c | 67.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed REKONIX | 25c | 62.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed REKONIX | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked REKONIX | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed REKONIX | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 45.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 40.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked REKONIX | 26c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 38.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 35.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 30.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 20.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 20.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d2…510abacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 17.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group DXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.