Lol · resolved market
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x493b0357af1756d42ab9a69c252eb5e92811baa6323433f1133ad1ce10f461cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Convictionof Maryville University, Conviction
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Maryville University | 64c | 10,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.78 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Conviction | 36c | 7,415$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,781.09 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Conviction | 64c | 4,011$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.79 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Maryville University | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Conviction | 36c | 3,420$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.8 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Conviction | 33c | 1,431$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.71 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Conviction | 36c | 1,314$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.37 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Conviction | 35c | 1,140$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Maryville University | 67c | 1,042$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.61 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Maryville University | 63c | 1,000$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.53 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Maryville University | 68c | 992.97$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.73 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Conviction | 32c | 771.37$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.37 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Maryville University | 44c | 698.62$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.63 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Maryville University | 28c | 667$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Maryville University | 46c | 525$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Conviction | 37c | 505.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.71 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Conviction | 37c | 499.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Maryville University | 59c | 441.3$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.16 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Maryville University | 65c | 390.23$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.65 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Conviction | 34c | 382.01$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.19 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Conviction | 24c | 363.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.88 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…87e7backed Conviction | 68c | 314.28$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 160 | 63.8%102 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Maryville University | 27c | 312.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction | 37c | 300.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.03 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Maryville University | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Maryville University | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maryville University | 57c | 290.05$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.45 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Maryville University | 77c | 258.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Maryville University | 22c | 253.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Conviction | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Maryville University | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Conviction | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Conviction | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Conviction | 61c | 187.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Conviction | 30c | 178.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…d794backed Maryville University | 70c | 178.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Conviction | 34c | 172.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 158 | 29.7%47 W · 111 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Maryville University | 28c | 155.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Conviction | 66c | 145.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Conviction | 64c | 143.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Maryville University | 65c | 143$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Conviction | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Maryville University | 50c | 138.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Maryville University | 63c | 125.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Maryville University | 64c | 119.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…e1b3backed Maryville University | 46c | 108.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Conviction | 55c | 106.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Maryville University | 65c | 100.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Maryville University | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe607…eaa0backed Conviction | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Maryville University | 76c | 96.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 149 | 30.9%46 W · 103 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Maryville University | 71c | 95.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Maryville University | 31c | 85.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Maryville University | 34c | 76.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Conviction | 17c | 76.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Conviction | 37c | 66.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…b071backed Maryville University | 38c | 63.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Maryville University | 68c | 61.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Maryville University | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked Conviction | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 692 | 47%325 W · 367 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Maryville University | 55c | 48.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Maryville University | 31c | 42.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d8…9f9ebacked Conviction | 48c | 41.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…6131backed Maryville University | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Conviction | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Maryville University | 58c | 36.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Conviction | 69c | 35.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Maryville University | 74c | 35.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…9045backed Conviction | 35c | 34.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b5c4backed Conviction | 71c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Maryville University | 52c | 32.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Maryville University | 50c | 31.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed Maryville University | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 440 | 62.7%276 W · 164 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Maryville University | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Conviction (+1.5)Conviction won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsConviction won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 2 WinnerMaryville University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.