Lol · resolved market

LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5695a001503afaf4299020375e9d301f82c9b53de739594af2a0c38d1299dea

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Maryville Universityof Maryville University, Conviction
Resolved: May 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $68,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,479 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Conviction	60c	19,639$11,822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,822.07	938	53.9%506 W · 432 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Maryville University	64c	5,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	1,517	50.6%767 W · 750 L	+75.8wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Conviction	57c	2,990$1,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,692.7	1,592	34%541 W · 1,051 L	-79.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Maryville University	36c	2,353$844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,508.59	869	43.2%375 W · 494 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Maryville University	45c	2,017$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,116.67	1,026	47.9%491 W · 535 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Maryville University	50c	1,958$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.5	507	49.7%252 W · 255 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Maryville University	37c	1,921$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,218.55	753	42.5%320 W · 433 L	-14.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Conviction	40c	1,916$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$761.21	1,272	37.6%478 W · 794 L	+33.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Maryville University	60c	1,783$1,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.68	1,533	50.6%775 W · 758 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed Conviction	41c	1,760$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.34	143	35%50 W · 93 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Maryville University	44c	1,674$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$934.99	2,005	48.3%969 W · 1,036 L	+25.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maryville University	34c	1,652$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,097.69	2,388	41%978 W · 1,410 L	-56.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Maryville University	46c	1,579$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$859.13	2,845	41.4%1,178 W · 1,667 L	-14.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Conviction	8c	1,474$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.14	456	18.9%86 W · 370 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Maryville University	45c	1,282$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.22	463	58.3%270 W · 193 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Conviction	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	849	60.8%516 W · 333 L	+45.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Conviction	4c	999.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	62	8.1%5 W · 57 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Maryville University	49c	935.55$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477.13	169	42%71 W · 98 L	-9.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Maryville University	45c	920$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506	244	45.1%110 W · 134 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Maryville University	60c	900$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.41	1,216	44.4%540 W · 676 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Conviction	47c	897.83$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.45	1,310	37.3%489 W · 821 L	-86.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Conviction	36c	876.18$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.42	1,642	40.2%660 W · 982 L	+48.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66d2…4186backed Conviction	39c	866$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.74	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Maryville University	48c	806.67$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.67	405	55.1%223 W · 182 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Maryville University	49c	795.45$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.68	434	42.4%184 W · 250 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Conviction	44c	770.99$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.53	422	50.2%212 W · 210 L	+27.0wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Maryville University	57c	747.01$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.42	705	41.3%291 W · 414 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Maryville University	49c	746.73$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.41	868	51.3%445 W · 423 L	+51.8wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Maryville University	58c	700$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	506	47.2%239 W · 267 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Maryville University	61c	700$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273	833	54.5%454 W · 379 L	+3.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb845…ca23backed Maryville University	42c	510.66$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.89	76	28.9%22 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Maryville University	59c	500$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.37	2,572	47.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L	-36.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Conviction	35c	499.99$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	435	39.5%172 W · 263 L	-24.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Maryville University	65c	487.78$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.72	444	51.8%230 W · 214 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Maryville University	38c	329.82$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.2	535	45.8%245 W · 290 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Maryville University	50c	309.91$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.96	307	57.7%177 W · 130 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Conviction	61c	304.24$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.23	152	43.4%66 W · 86 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Maryville University	53c	282.2$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.27	3,066	44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L	-97.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Maryville University	57c	271$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.53	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Maryville University	45c	267.33$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.03	316	53.8%170 W · 146 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Maryville University	48c	255$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.5	1,671	57.9%968 W · 703 L	+70.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Maryville University	41c	246.69$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.69	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Conviction	35c	220.42$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.43	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Maryville University	47c	213.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.19	405	46.2%187 W · 218 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Maryville University	64c	200$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	923	51%471 W · 452 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Maryville University	76c	197.17$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.17	1,696	59.5%1,009 W · 687 L	+101.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked Conviction	58c	190.83$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	245	39.6%97 W · 148 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Maryville University	62c	169.28$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.14	375	48%180 W · 195 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Conviction	46c	155.63$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	476	30.7%146 W · 330 L	-13.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Maryville University	65c	143$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.05	224	52.7%118 W · 106 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Maryville University	45c	137.78$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.78	187	42.2%79 W · 108 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Maryville University	30c	133.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.33	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32bb…8addbacked Conviction	60c	115.81$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Conviction	26c	115$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	548	24.3%133 W · 415 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed Maryville University	49c	112.24$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.24	254	57.5%146 W · 108 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Conviction	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	636	46.9%298 W · 338 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Conviction	38c	89.92$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.35	751	50.7%381 W · 370 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Conviction	46c	84.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.95	1,643	44.4%730 W · 913 L	-42.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ad…0e38backed Conviction	27c	82.95$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	179	53.6%96 W · 83 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Maryville University	56c	80$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	1,270	52.8%671 W · 599 L	+14.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Maryville University	32c	77.23$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.52	1,553	43.9%681 W · 872 L	-26.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed Maryville University	63c	64.78$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.88	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Conviction	57c	62$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.08	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3724…c59abacked Maryville University	45c	57.97$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.17	100	34%34 W · 66 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Maryville University	65c	53.32$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.66	320	53.8%172 W · 148 L	+21.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2392…ed75backed Maryville University	59c	50.62$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.75	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Maryville University	63c	50.27$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	670	56.9%381 W · 289 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd939…9045backed Conviction	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Maryville University	47c	46.34$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.58	588	55.4%326 W · 262 L	+17.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Conviction	37c	40.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd4…7a38backed Conviction	40c	39.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Conviction	59c	39.92$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.48	249	59.8%149 W · 100 L	+18.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c36…08f5backed Conviction	36c	37.61$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	156	35.9%56 W · 100 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc4…d48cbacked Conviction	36c	34.39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.38	275	40.4%111 W · 164 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d4…c512backed Conviction	39c	34.01$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.22	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-8.6wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked Maryville University	45c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	708	46.8%331 W · 377 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28ca…a5d4backed Maryville University	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed Maryville University	47c	30.06$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.93	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc78a…ea34backed Conviction	62c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	453	63.4%287 W · 166 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Conviction	55c	28.75$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.7	1,971	42.5%837 W · 1,134 L	-43.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Conviction	56c	27.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.37	1,226	43.6%535 W · 691 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d8…9f9ebacked Conviction	58c	25.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Maryville University	64c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	1,398	49.4%691 W · 707 L	-20.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Conviction (+1.5)Conviction won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsConviction won
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 1 WinnerConviction won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event