Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49ec0c77dba1166239c824824fee1756dcdae4080a564c0e74d574f110df4895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 67c | 9,232$6,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.26 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 30c | 7,099$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.33 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 71c | 4,988$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.47 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…5efdbacked Over | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Over | 29c | 3,998$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.41 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 69c | 3,996$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.76 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 68c | 3,596$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.6 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 34c | 1,955$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.93 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 31c | 1,744$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.65 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 29c | 699.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 71c | 638.02$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.03 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Over | 30c | 616.54$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.96 | 108 | 31.5%34 W · 74 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 35c | 564.2$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.47 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed Under | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 18c | 499.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb1…b580backed Over | 30c | 419.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 30c | 417.34$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 29c | 287.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Under | 75c | 261.25$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 24c | 189.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 36c | 186.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…82e8backed Under | 72c | 141.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Under | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 65c | 132.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Under | 65c | 119.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 28c | 117.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 103.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Over | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 26c | 76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…2650backed Over | 31c | 72.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 69c | 71.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 64c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 71c | 63.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Under | 68c | 44.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 69c | 43.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Under | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Under | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d4…2059backed Under | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 67c | 20.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…1920backed Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 202 | 69.3%140 W · 62 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.