Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a33c4ad0dbab5a1ff359449228c9ae7039c8de6707b7c64e590534d7af954df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 22c | 7,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.26 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 2,469$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.82 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 1,913$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.85 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 15c | 542.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Yes | 22c | 499.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 497.07$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 383.64$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 326.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 288.4$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 194.8$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 30c | 156.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 16c | 150.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 135$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 22c | 121.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Yes | 21c | 104$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -81%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…7ee3backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 80c | 97.59$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 78c | 92.3$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 79c | 30.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 15.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers FC vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.