Tennis · resolved market
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ab4268437bbca4edc3c653482c25703fccd8df045ec72a9fe2568a959effc17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ajla Tomljanovicof Caty McNally, Ajla Tomljanovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Caty McNally | 44c | 9,095$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 76c | 7,027$5,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.33 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 72c | 6,162$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.05 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 57c | 4,153$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.34 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Caty McNally | 34c | 3,360$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 75c | 3,234$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Caty McNally | 26c | 3,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Caty McNally | 34c | 2,912$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 78c | 2,306$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.31 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Caty McNally | 12c | 1,385$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Caty McNally | 34c | 1,085$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.86 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 74c | 927.47$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Caty McNally | 12c | 844.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 23.1%24 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Caty McNally | 28c | 769.37$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.67 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Caty McNally | 12c | 720$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Caty McNally | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Caty McNally | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Caty McNally | 11c | 562.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Caty McNally | 25c | 541.67$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Caty McNally | 9c | 506.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Caty McNally | 16c | 502.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Caty McNally | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Caty McNally | 37c | 493.13$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.91 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…eeb6backed Caty McNally | 23c | 464.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Caty McNally | 34c | 437.79$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Caty McNally | 10c | 420.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 67c | 219.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Caty McNally | 38c | 205.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…b271backed Caty McNally | 32c | 204.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Caty McNally | 10c | 200.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Caty McNally | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Caty McNally | 12c | 197.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Caty McNally | 27c | 168.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 55c | 167.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Caty McNally | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Caty McNally | 9c | 149.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Caty McNally | 10c | 144.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 136 | 34.6%47 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 65c | 138.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Caty McNally | 19c | 134.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…6e4fbacked Caty McNally | 18c | 130.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b84…5c6dbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Caty McNally | 20c | 117.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Caty McNally | 10c | 102.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Caty McNally | 12c | 93.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…5906backed Caty McNally | 32c | 92.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 67c | 83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 57c | 52.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 59c | 52.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Caty McNally | 22c | 51.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Caty McNally | 23c | 47.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…8a59backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 64c | 41.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…008cbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 76c | 39.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae85…c96abacked Caty McNally | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 293 | 52.2%153 W · 140 L | -21.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 73c | 21.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 59c | 17.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…ec8bbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 73c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.