NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ba912d4a02114fd8ab069cfbf44b95ae5bae4dfefb629e63233d45deb30bddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Suns, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Cavaliers | 73c | 7,500$5,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Suns | 27c | 6,056$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.49 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cavaliers | 75c | 5,949$4,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.36 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Suns | 10c | 4,921$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.23 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 27c | 4,145$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.17 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 76c | 3,826$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.06 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Suns | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Suns | 26c | 2,695$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.32 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Suns | 26c | 1,908$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…42a8backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,652$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Suns | 17c | 1,650$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 1,359$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.26 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Suns | 26c | 1,284$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.82 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Suns | 27c | 1,251$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.77 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Suns | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Suns | 2c | 1,153$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Suns | 2c | 1,004$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Cavaliers | 74c | 926.18$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.81 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Suns | 27c | 801$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.27 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Suns | 26c | 797.36$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.31 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Suns | 1c | 793.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns | 17c | 700$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 700$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Cavaliers | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 471.43$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Suns | 26c | 424.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Suns | 5c | 388.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…a3f3backed Suns | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Suns | 26c | 288$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Suns | 11c | 287.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…8058backed Suns | 21c | 266.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns | 27c | 265$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Cavaliers | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Suns | 6c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Cavaliers | 69c | 164$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Suns | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Cavaliers | 74c | 137.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea6…672ebacked Cavaliers | 75c | 137.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…4589backed Cavaliers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Cavaliers | 78c | 128.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Suns | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…80febacked Suns | 23c | 109.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…c613backed Suns | 27c | 85.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6776…8ca2backed Cavaliers | 74c | 74.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Suns | 21c | 63.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Cavaliers | 80c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c3…853cbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 40.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 145 | 67.6%98 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979e…bd2fbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…5038backed Cavaliers | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Cavaliers | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…2014backed Cavaliers | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb318…2714backed Cavaliers | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.