MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc3261153f5fe957c27c0832283ad623b88100271a6f701bc581c88c45c5a29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 1,402$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.73 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 674.4$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.19 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 635.75$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.66 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 561.76$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.19 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 550.16$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 473.09$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.33 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 449.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.59 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 64c | 426.3$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.15 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Doosan Bears | 33c | 312$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Doosan Bears | 41c | 284.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…8239backed Doosan Bears | 33c | 223$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 158.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 153$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 143.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Doosan Bears | 22c | 128$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Doosan Bears | 48c | 127.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 126.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 451 | 49.2%222 W · 229 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 126.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Doosan Bears | 19c | 121$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…1aa4backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Doosan Bears | 37c | 112.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lotte Giants | 68c | 112.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 103.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 60.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cc…2cb0backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 55.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 476 | 46.8%223 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 52.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Doosan Bears | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 49.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…74ebbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 49.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 414 | 44%182 W · 232 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 49.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Doosan Bears | 34c | 44.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 43.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 41.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 372 | 67.7%252 W · 120 L | +33.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Lotte Giants | 69c | 36.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 35.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…8d9cbacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Lotte Giants | 66c | 28.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed Lotte Giants | 62c | 25.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x291c…e48ebacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 24.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 20.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.