TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hersonissos 2: Petr Nesterov vs Maximus Jones

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Petr Nesterovof Petr Nesterov, Maximus Jones
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,247 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Maximus Jones57c3,400$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.841,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Petr Nesterov48c3,009$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.232,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Maximus Jones38c2,003$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.481,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Petr Nesterov53c1,490$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.456,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Maximus Jones47c1,208$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.868,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Maximus Jones53c1,036$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.692,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Petr Nesterov63c988$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.5681047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Petr Nesterov61c940.99$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.1128247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Petr Nesterov58c862.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.5911342.5%48 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Maximus Jones39c786.79$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.5643042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Petr Nesterov55c546.86$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.8694549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maximus Jones41c494.38$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.953,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…76a4backed Maximus Jones48c351$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.982623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Petr Nesterov55c329.33$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.339824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Petr Nesterov47c328.35$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.564,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Petr Nesterov61c300$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2211045.5%50 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Maximus Jones45c293.46$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.986,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Maximus Jones32c279.49$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.152,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Maximus Jones14c279.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0759151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Petr Nesterov41c267.34$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.264139%16 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Petr Nesterov57c264.17$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3424438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Maximus Jones15c255.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3811832.2%38 W · 80 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Maximus Jones42c239.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Maximus Jones63c237.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15069350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Maximus Jones57c200.87$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.872,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maximus Jones39c197$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.831,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Petr Nesterov70c195$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4969249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Maximus Jones39c171.39$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.85149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Petr Nesterov59c168.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0414028.6%40 W · 100 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Petr Nesterov46c151.96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.883,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Petr Nesterov55c143.27$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.471,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Maximus Jones48c138.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6767836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Maximus Jones44c137.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7936333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Petr Nesterov63c135$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.952,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Maximus Jones29c124.69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.474,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Maximus Jones39c122.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6666452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Petr Nesterov60c120.61$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6738147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Petr Nesterov62c102.86$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6683661%510 W · 326 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Maximus Jones38c102.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.31,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Maximus Jones37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Petr Nesterov64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3677967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Petr Nesterov53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4751539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d0…39f3backed Petr Nesterov51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Petr Nesterov50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Petr Nesterov75c96.71$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.666,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x613f…6463backed Maximus Jones41c92.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.545937.3%22 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Petr Nesterov56c90.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7332937.4%123 W · 206 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Maximus Jones39c85.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.651,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maximus Jones40c81.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.527,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b14…4e3bbacked Petr Nesterov58c75.74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.161136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Maximus Jones43c61.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.63650%18 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Petr Nesterov57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.858248.3%281 W · 301 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Petr Nesterov59c55.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.727566.5%183 W · 92 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Petr Nesterov59c51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1337342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Maximus Jones38c49.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8130349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Maximus Jones46c48.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.352457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Petr Nesterov64c46.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7634159.5%203 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Maximus Jones58c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5265264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Maximus Jones37c43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8418233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Maximus Jones37c43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9154434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked Petr Nesterov63c42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5413556.3%76 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Maximus Jones36c42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.127,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Maximus Jones37c41.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.457848.7%38 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Petr Nesterov79c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.535352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Maximus Jones37c39.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.441,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Petr Nesterov59c38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.691,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Petr Nesterov59c38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4973745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Petr Nesterov63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.759663.5%61 W · 35 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Maximus Jones57c31.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0430844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Maximus Jones37c30.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.331,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Petr Nesterov65c30.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8557252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Maximus Jones42c27.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.593,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Petr Nesterov49c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.261,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Maximus Jones56c25.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1423249.1%114 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Maximus Jones45c24.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0630853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Petr Nesterov58c23.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.859,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Petr Nesterov59c22.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0324931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Petr Nesterov55c21.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.775064%32 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc194…f69fbacked Maximus Jones67c21.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.371361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d65…2d2bbacked Maximus Jones59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.