Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c0ec8abe7610ff0762a1504396b4eba6fee06a06563d677a23b03ee590ae5d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 23c | 1,460$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.23 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 23c | 1,024$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.82 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…c751backed Yes | 29c | 394.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 64c | 324.67$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.42 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 252.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 22c | 250.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 235.06$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 76c | 176.04$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 37c | 161.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 76c | 158.49$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 24c | 142.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 32c | 140.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 78c | 125.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 27c | 124.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 12c | 121.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 20c | 120.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 114.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 23c | 113.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 79c | 113.23$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 21c | 99.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2fadbacked No | 70c | 99.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 120 | 68.3%82 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 71c | 97.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 78c | 93.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 77c | 92.84$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 27c | 92.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 89.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 88.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…8ae2backed Yes | 19c | 85.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 27c | 84.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 76c | 82.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 77.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 78c | 74.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 23c | 67.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed Yes | 27c | 62.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 16c | 62.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 77c | 59.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 77c | 54.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 28c | 54.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 76c | 52.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…c553backed No | 77c | 50.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 77cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 72c | 50.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 20c | 50.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed Yes | 22c | 49.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 70c | 47.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…695fbacked No | 78c | 45.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…a655backed No | 78c | 45.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed No | 69c | 44.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…1d38backed No | 79c | 43.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed Yes | 37c | 43.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 77c | 42.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…a14ebacked No | 77c | 38.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 78c | 37.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed No | 72c | 37.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 78c | 37.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 37.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…47dabacked Yes | 40c | 35.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 76c | 34.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 76c | 32.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked No | 77c | 31.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…f35abacked No | 78c | 31.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…977cbacked No | 78c | 31.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed No | 65c | 29.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…2227backed No | 79c | 29.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…b93dbacked No | 77c | 27.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…4f99backed No | 77c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…fdb9backed No | 77c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed No | 78c | 25.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed No | 78c | 25.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed No | 78c | 25.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 78c | 25.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 78c | 25.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 77c | 25.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 76c | 24.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…1542backed Yes | 44c | 24.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 79c | 23.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…792abacked No | 67c | 23.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 64c | 23.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 63c | 22.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 62c | 22.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…dfc9backed No | 74c | 20.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe651…4661backed No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…f6dfbacked No | 78c | 19.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…c0abbacked No | 68c | 19.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ef…c83ebacked No | 77c | 19.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 78c | 18.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…5301backed No | 78c | 18.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 69 | 85.5%59 W · 10 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…f045backed No | 80c | 18.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 60c | 17.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 78c | 16.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…ced0backed No | 80c | 15.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 69cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…4613backed No | 77c | 15.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d9…cb04backed No | 78c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6154…0404backed No | 78c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 79c | 14.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…f13abacked No | 77c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abc…9e55backed No | 78c | 13.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 88°F or higher on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.