Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c2ff217f6a195af97df5a1b1223a605872b0ac3b6655cb3356249084d3579a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,074 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 55c | 23,176$12,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,678.1 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 12,737$5,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,042.54 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 6,232$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.6 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 5,999$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.08 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 5,018$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.66 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Team Falcons | 57c | 3,559$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.67 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,913$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.64 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 2,822$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.61 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Falcons | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 1,638$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.01 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,100$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,054$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.21 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 1,052$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.41 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 744.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 702.2$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.93 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 699.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Team Falcons | 61c | 673$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.53 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…7deebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 578.51$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.98 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 574.8$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 500$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Falcons | 53c | 499.94$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.77 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 429.25$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.36 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Falcons | 57c | 400$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Team Falcons | 42c | 387.43$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 376.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.46 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 371.58$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.65 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Falcons | 54c | 358.8$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.61 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 350.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.01 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Falcons | 62c | 322.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 308.25$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Team Falcons | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 248.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 45c | 230.32$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 220.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 196.24$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Team Falcons | 65c | 196.12$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.76 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 185.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 183.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 181.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 164.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Falcons | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons | 46c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Team Falcons | 55c | 139.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 137.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 135.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…3999backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Falcons | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 117$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 108.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons | 51c | 104.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 103.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 100.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Team Falcons | 38c | 81.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 80.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 75.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c90…f87cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Team Falcons | 21c | 71.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Falcons | 37c | 68.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…f000backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 59.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 51.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…7bf6backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Team Falcons | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd417…327abacked Team Falcons | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Team Falcons | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 44.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Team Falcons | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Falcons | 56c | 35.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 31.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb150…236dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 27.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…df60backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Team Falcons | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 50c | 24.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.