Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 4: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Yue Yuan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cb521c08a7c49d66e0f6f67d010ea35cca6ad29008acb7f3a54be057a91970d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yue Yuanof Alisa Oktiabreva, Yue Yuan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 43c | 11,292$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.96 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Yue Yuan | 50c | 6,232$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.83 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 36c | 2,865$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.55 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…89ccbacked Yue Yuan | 72c | 1,696$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.19 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yue Yuan | 39c | 1,434$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.11 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yue Yuan | 77c | 1,256$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.66 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 3c | 1,199$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 2c | 1,117$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Yue Yuan | 41c | 912.6$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.49 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 11c | 729.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 58c | 611.15$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.87 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…8850backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 13c | 594.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Yue Yuan | 47c | 503.18$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.58 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yue Yuan | 50c | 430.4$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.2 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Yue Yuan | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 55c | 399.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yue Yuan | 72c | 371.13$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 4c | 318.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 21c | 270$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 7c | 237.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…b4b4backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 5c | 214$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Yue Yuan | 50c | 150.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 53c | 142.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 52c | 134.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yue Yuan | 45c | 133.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 56c | 133$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yue Yuan | 50c | 123.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 50c | 118.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Yue Yuan | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yue Yuan | 51c | 104.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 55c | 103.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 55c | 95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…09c9backed Yue Yuan | 45c | 86.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 220 | 49.5%109 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 27c | 67.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 61c | 62.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…edc2backed Yue Yuan | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 56c | 60.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yue Yuan | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 55c | 54.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 43c | 54.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 56c | 53.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 70c | 51.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yue Yuan | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Yue Yuan | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Yue Yuan | 77c | 47.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 56c | 43.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 64c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…17c4backed Yue Yuan | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yue Yuan | 44c | 41.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…63f6backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 57c | 38.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 38c | 36.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e97…8504backed Yue Yuan | 53c | 35.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 47c | 34.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Yue Yuan | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Yue Yuan | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 120 | 70%84 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yue Yuan | 41c | 31.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 66c | 30.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 65c | 28.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yue Yuan | 74c | 28.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 370 | 58.6%217 W · 153 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yue Yuan | 52c | 28.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 349 | 57.6%201 W · 148 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yue Yuan | 45c | 27.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yue Yuan | 45c | 26.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yue Yuan | 78c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…5821backed Yue Yuan | 45c | 22.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 65c | 21.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 60c | 19.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yue Yuan | 71c | 16.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.