TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Rinky Hijikata

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ugo Humbertof Ugo Humbert, Rinky Hijikata
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,546 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Ugo Humbert71c27,381$19,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,870.98,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Rinky Hijikata24c10,480$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50024631.3%77 W · 169 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Rinky Hijikata1c8,700$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121610%0 W · 61 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18ba…f577backed Rinky Hijikata10c8,132$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.416732.8%22 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Rinky Hijikata45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d25…12c6backed Rinky Hijikata12c3,811$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4721533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Rinky Hijikata5c3,400$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.447728.1%134 W · 343 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Rinky Hijikata35c1,855$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.421,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Ugo Humbert69c1,809$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.853,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Ugo Humbert73c1,694$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.622,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Ugo Humbert78c1,638$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.355,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Ugo Humbert76c1,322$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.332,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa40…526dbacked Rinky Hijikata3c1,157$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.771811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-53.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Rinky Hijikata23c929.49$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21648935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Rinky Hijikata34c882.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30043334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Rinky Hijikata6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Rinky Hijikata9c761.91$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707742.9%33 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+40%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Rinky Hijikata33c734.42$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.062,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Rinky Hijikata9c580.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506923.2%16 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Rinky Hijikata37c568.49$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0640144.4%178 W · 223 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Rinky Hijikata15c533.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8839238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Ugo Humbert67c522.39$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c39…36c1backed Rinky Hijikata10c512.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Rinky Hijikata40c466.61$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6564540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Rinky Hijikata31c400$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12537233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Rinky Hijikata28c400$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11134650.6%175 W · 171 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Rinky Hijikata28c400$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3443250.5%218 W · 214 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda70…37e3backed Ugo Humbert63c385.76$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.675545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Rinky Hijikata6c341.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043336.7%159 W · 274 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Rinky Hijikata32c306.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.537,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Ugo Humbert66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0326253.8%141 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Rinky Hijikata37c299.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9945744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Rinky Hijikata6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Rinky Hijikata6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561755.9%345 W · 272 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Ugo Humbert75c226$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9844552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Rinky Hijikata12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2542042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Rinky Hijikata25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa59…d4cebacked Rinky Hijikata38c195.15$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1622048.6%107 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Ugo Humbert67c184$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7273748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Rinky Hijikata7c170$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.568430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Ugo Humbert66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5281933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Rinky Hijikata12c137$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.871,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Rinky Hijikata15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Ugo Humbert69c132.42$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0560651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Ugo Humbert69c126.83$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3278847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Ugo Humbert77c125.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.346,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Rinky Hijikata14c125.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1885348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Rinky Hijikata35c120.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1255032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4702…5d04backed Ugo Humbert74c115.5$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.128937.1%33 W · 56 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Rinky Hijikata22c107.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Ugo Humbert69c107.06$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.191,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Rinky Hijikata40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb78a…61c4backed Ugo Humbert63c97.35$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7115364.1%98 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Rinky Hijikata35c96.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2543952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Rinky Hijikata18c93.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.74,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Ugo Humbert60c93$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.465,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Rinky Hijikata31c79.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.862727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Rinky Hijikata38c68.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Ugo Humbert66c54.27$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.451,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d92…48e4backed Ugo Humbert69c50.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.727568%51 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Ugo Humbert79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6321964.8%142 W · 77 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Ugo Humbert69c42.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0319445.4%88 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Ugo Humbert69c40.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4776853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa36b…f273backed Ugo Humbert65c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.652766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Ugo Humbert79c37.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9957447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Ugo Humbert77c37.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.864866.7%32 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Ugo Humbert60c33.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3425550.6%129 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Rinky Hijikata34c32.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.191,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Ugo Humbert69c31.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6130055.7%167 W · 133 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Ugo Humbert69c26.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2411947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Ugo Humbert68c26.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2848650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Ugo Humbert69c26.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1548652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4877…718ebacked Ugo Humbert63c26.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.69966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Ugo Humbert60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.939851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb1…e1d6backed Ugo Humbert62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.53956.4%22 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cb5…051abacked Ugo Humbert62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.52365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Ugo Humbert80c24.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9741768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Ugo Humbert70c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79e1…ecb4backed Ugo Humbert71c19.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.553063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Ugo Humbert69c18.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8814449.3%71 W · 73 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Ugo Humbert69c18.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6661752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Ugo Humbert60c16.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6762549.6%310 W · 315 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.