Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kocaelispor vs. Amed Sportif: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d76859d4c015c9061675e7f7d7cd6d7239b89f222c4aebf95efea1d2be09410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 31c | 3,703$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.62 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 58c | 2,538$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.23 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,925$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 1,810$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.62 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Under | 57c | 1,764$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.06 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 63c | 1,058$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.05 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 39c | 846.12$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.49 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 11c | 760.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 58c | 741.97$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 57c | 695.59$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 40c | 468$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 40c | 429.39$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 27c | 414.1$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 60c | 400.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed Over | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 275.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 264.9$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 52c | 199.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 10c | 183.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 42c | 117.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 86.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 70c | 76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 42c | 69.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Over | 43c | 64.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 19c | 54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 19c | 54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 42c | 50.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8e…1500backed Over | 42c | 50.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 40c | 46.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9e2bbacked Under | 58c | 42.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 58c | 36.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Over | 43c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Over | 43c | 24.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 43c | 23.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 71c | 22.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…e483backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 77c | 13.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kocaelispor vs. Amed Sportif: O/U 2.5this page
- Kocaelispor vs. Amed Sportif: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Kocaelispor vs. Amed Sportif: Amed Sportif O/U 1.5Under won
- Kocaelispor vs. Amed Sportif: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kocaelispor vs. Amed Sportif: Kocaelispor O/U 1.5Over won
- Kocaelispor vs. Amed Sportif: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kocaelispor vs. Amed Sportif: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kocaelispor vs. Amed Sportif: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kocaelispor vs. Amed Sportif: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-1.5)Kocaelispor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.