MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ec6e690ee53492f53bb40f6946fcac0ac1ca218eafd8eb340735812ed4ae4e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb946…2671backed KT Wiz | 39c | 516.38$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked KT Wiz | 40c | 474.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.82 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked KT Wiz | 9c | 420.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LG Twins | 61c | 400$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed LG Twins | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked KT Wiz | 39c | 255.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed LG Twins | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…6754backed LG Twins | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 19c | 207.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LG Twins | 62c | 174.05$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed LG Twins | 61c | 152.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed KT Wiz | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed KT Wiz | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked KT Wiz | 9c | 118.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 80c | 109$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7510…367fbacked LG Twins | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 15c | 99.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed KT Wiz | 18c | 91.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KT Wiz | 19c | 88.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KT Wiz | 26c | 81.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed LG Twins | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Wiz | 20c | 71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed KT Wiz | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed KT Wiz | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed LG Twins | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked KT Wiz | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed LG Twins | 59c | 36.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 39c | 32.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked KT Wiz | 40c | 30.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LG Twins | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LG Twins | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…1d83backed LG Twins | 50c | 24.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…7333backed KT Wiz | 50c | 24.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…1331backed LG Twins | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc2…592ebacked KT Wiz | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed LG Twins | 59c | 20.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -13.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4d…8626backed KT Wiz | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…89a3backed LG Twins | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed LG Twins | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed LG Twins | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…0d87backed LG Twins | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.