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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
ALKAof Grêmio Esports, ALKA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,549 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07e8…faaebacked ALKA54c856.48$460 inWon+$396.9119549.7%97 W · 98 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed ALKA62c745.83$465 inWon+$281.0352656.1%295 W · 231 L+20.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc38…d22bbacked Grêmio Esports74c652.87$486 inLost-$485.722568%17 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Grêmio Esports46c618$284 inLost-$284.282,75530.3%834 W · 1,921 L-121.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Grêmio Esports45c599.98$268 inLost-$268.135937%133 W · 226 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ALKA57c279.78$159 inWon+$120.363,41945.8%1,566 W · 1,853 L-85.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed ALKA47c200$93 inWon+$106.8461248.9%299 W · 313 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked ALKA76c199.99$152 inWon+$47.5282234.4%283 W · 539 L-52.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed ALKA43c176.17$76 inWon+$100.381,72646.8%808 W · 918 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Grêmio Esports56c169.84$95 inLost-$95.284,18650.9%2,130 W · 2,056 L+71.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabf…bb11backed ALKA41c161.49$67 inWon+$94.48425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Grêmio Esports56c146.89$83 inLost-$82.948,17850.4%4,121 W · 4,057 L+175.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Grêmio Esports47c139.65$65 inLost-$65.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked ALKA80c115.89$92 inWon+$23.761,52753%809 W · 718 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ALKA53c110.99$58 inWon+$52.545,50931.7%1,744 W · 3,765 L-399.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Grêmio Esports50c104.59$52 inLost-$52.025,19037.1%1,926 W · 3,264 L-275.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68cf…e58cbacked ALKA55c100$55 inWon+$452268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked ALKA35c94.97$33 inWon+$61.7886837.4%325 W · 543 L-21.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grêmio Esports60c94.27$57 inLost-$56.635,72747.2%2,706 W · 3,021 L+47.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ALKA56c90.43$50 inWon+$40.122,65634.7%922 W · 1,734 L-204.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ALKA59c77.89$46 inWon+$32.062,54543.1%1,098 W · 1,447 L-74.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed ALKA41c75.93$31 inWon+$44.886451.5%445 W · 419 L+28.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Grêmio Esports37c73.99$28 inLost-$27.6434547.8%165 W · 180 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ALKA63c72.2$46 inWon+$26.642,84237.9%1,077 W · 1,765 L-135.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Grêmio Esports37c60$22 inLost-$21.997645.9%448 W · 528 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7a…b8bdbacked Grêmio Esports68c58.82$40 inLost-$409771.1%69 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x672c…881bbacked ALKA57c58.78$33 inWon+$25.43271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ALKA50c57.97$29 inWon+$28.733,75829.6%1,114 W · 2,644 L-300.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Grêmio Esports72c56$41 inLost-$40.572,33343.5%1,015 W · 1,318 L-71.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd156…8569backed Grêmio Esports76c52.63$40 inLost-$404178%32 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ALKA50c36.72$18 inWon+$18.414,04936.5%1,478 W · 2,571 L-208.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc62a…76b5backed Grêmio Esports55c36.66$20 inLost-$2020047%94 W · 106 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb900…91ffbacked Grêmio Esports65c30.92$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa08b…413cbacked ALKA54c28.04$15 inWon+$13.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed ALKA61c21.67$13 inWon+$8.4719249.5%95 W · 97 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Grêmio Esports47c21.57$10 inLost-$10.1673042.3%309 W · 421 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d47…0592backed ALKA50c20.2$10 inWon+$10.21844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe37f…6635backed Grêmio Esports77c20.13$15 inLost-$15.453959%23 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Grêmio Esports73c20$15 inLost-$14.62,00842.3%849 W · 1,159 L-74.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab4…74b7backed ALKA63c16.63$10 inWon+$6.152646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.