TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Orzeł Barcząca Esportsof Orzeł Barcząca Esports, HMBLE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,774

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,774 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bdd…23dcbacked HMBLE42c16,828$7,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,049.3417163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c8,364$4,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.829245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c3,620$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.45954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports60c2,650$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.524065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed HMBLE36c2,439$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.5669756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HMBLE43c2,314$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.111,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports59c2,277$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.12,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports67c2,240$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.982,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports56c2,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8901,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked HMBLE19c1,934$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.562,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c1,231$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.0334250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports53c1,230$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.741,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…b387backed HMBLE45c1,170$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.7864749.5%320 W · 327 L+3.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed HMBLE48c1,007$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.8614248.6%69 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports54c1,000$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.350646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports57c996.54$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.268944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports57c863.38$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.251,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed HMBLE33c774.54$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.6739246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed HMBLE51c687.99$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8463161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked HMBLE43c637.1$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.3113336.8%49 W · 84 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c500.04$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8367549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports66c472.9$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7998956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed HMBLE42c471.06$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8534837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fc…04aabacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c457.53$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.761,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ebb…e3b0backed HMBLE42c430$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c426.01$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.441,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc4a…3f91backed HMBLE42c369$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports62c361.58$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5899747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed HMBLE51c300$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.51,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13517942.5%76 W · 103 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9093…7787backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c289$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe04b…c716backed HMBLE42c285$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ff…7427backed HMBLE42c284$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d1…c910backed HMBLE42c283$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports79c282$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.531,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd461…3f33backed HMBLE42c278$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4454…cc2ebacked HMBLE42c271$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports78c257.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.281,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x909a…f13cbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c227$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc48e…6a05backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c226$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63af…233dbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports65c213.41$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.172360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…6809backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c213$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+73.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0859241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d9…8665backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c203$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10266445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe82c…4d90backed HMBLE5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports51c196.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5274344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc1…00d8backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c196$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a57…fff4backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb808…ef66backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c178$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c9c…dd21backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c174$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…f0b6backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c157$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…18b8backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c157$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed HMBLE34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HMBLE40c140.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.342,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports64c130$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.774462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa649…af7dbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports69c119.86$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.368161.7%50 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports67c104.47$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3454054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports59c103.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8680150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed HMBLE50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked HMBLE43c92.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports67c76.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1248042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked HMBLE44c75.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1421457.5%123 W · 91 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed HMBLE29c75.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.691,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed HMBLE35c66.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.333122.6%7 W · 24 L-7.9wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-55.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed HMBLE47c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.611,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed HMBLE43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.81,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed HMBLE24c54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9621350.2%107 W · 106 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports58c49.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked HMBLE46c48.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1169247%325 W · 367 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked HMBLE44c48.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.912544%11 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-19.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d19…296ebacked HMBLE45c44.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035146.2%162 W · 189 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports57c34.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.053860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports53c32.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.141,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x128a…bd2abacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb43e…fecfbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports67c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.924151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports75c14.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6260124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.