Tennis · resolved market
Austin: Dalma Galfi vs Lanlana Tararudee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fff0c9d72395a5ade772c49e7be383653fcbd4b9d2007a545246d0c35822d21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lanlana Tararudeeof Dalma Galfi, Lanlana Tararudee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,584 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Dalma Galfi | 48c | 7,829$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.65 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lanlana Tararudee | 58c | 7,426$4,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.5 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dalma Galfi | 21c | 5,557$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.6 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Dalma Galfi | 36c | 3,107$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.62 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 72c | 2,632$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.63 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lanlana Tararudee | 57c | 2,385$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.36 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Dalma Galfi | 50c | 2,005$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Dalma Galfi | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lanlana Tararudee | 69c | 1,762$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.55 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Lanlana Tararudee | 55c | 1,150$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Dalma Galfi | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 51c | 854$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.46 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lanlana Tararudee | 51c | 756.02$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.32 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dalma Galfi | 41c | 587.97$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Lanlana Tararudee | 57c | 555.34$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.34 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Lanlana Tararudee | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 74c | 413.8$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.54 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…b03bbacked Dalma Galfi | 35c | 405.38$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lanlana Tararudee | 49c | 360.15$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.92 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Dalma Galfi | 45c | 343$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Dalma Galfi | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Lanlana Tararudee | 59c | 319.41$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lanlana Tararudee | 60c | 264.5$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Dalma Galfi | 44c | 229.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…76a4backed Dalma Galfi | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Dalma Galfi | 46c | 215.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Lanlana Tararudee | 56c | 202.27$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Dalma Galfi | 25c | 198.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Lanlana Tararudee | 55c | 184.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Dalma Galfi | 25c | 149.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Dalma Galfi | 49c | 138.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Dalma Galfi | 44c | 137.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dalma Galfi | 32c | 115.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…a418backed Lanlana Tararudee | 58c | 106.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dalma Galfi | 42c | 104.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Dalma Galfi | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Dalma Galfi | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Dalma Galfi | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Dalma Galfi | 23c | 88.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 64c | 88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dalma Galfi | 34c | 85.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 64c | 81.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lanlana Tararudee | 53c | 81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Dalma Galfi | 36c | 71.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Dalma Galfi | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…a66abacked Lanlana Tararudee | 73c | 65.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Dalma Galfi | 35c | 62.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Dalma Galfi | 44c | 60.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Lanlana Tararudee | 52c | 59.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Lanlana Tararudee | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Dalma Galfi | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dalma Galfi | 42c | 51.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Lanlana Tararudee | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Lanlana Tararudee | 56c | 48.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Lanlana Tararudee | 64c | 47.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Lanlana Tararudee | 57c | 44.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Dalma Galfi | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dalma Galfi | 44c | 43.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 71c | 42.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dalma Galfi | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Lanlana Tararudee | 55c | 39.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Dalma Galfi | 46c | 33.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Dalma Galfi | 31c | 33.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfb…6dc1backed Dalma Galfi | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Dalma Galfi | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Lanlana Tararudee | 56c | 31.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…b3a5backed Dalma Galfi | 65c | 30.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Dalma Galfi | 35c | 30.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lanlana Tararudee | 58c | 29.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Dalma Galfi | 41c | 28.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Dalma Galfi | 37c | 28.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dalma Galfi | 45c | 27.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Dalma Galfi | 40c | 25.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Dalma Galfi | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Dalma Galfi | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Lanlana Tararudee | 59c | 20.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 68c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin: Dalma Galfi vs Lanlana Tararudeethis page
- Galfi vs. Tararudee: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.