NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Suns: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c80148ba9046a03e7e5761fe57855cd5fc1355aebb06364d7b3f6119c112e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Under | 60c | 871.75$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.7 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 390.88$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 39c | 298.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.24 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 16c | 218.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Over | 47c | 198.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 39c | 194$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 46c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…0b58backed Under | 59c | 117.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Over | 41c | 117.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Over | 39c | 112$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 40c | 108$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Over | 40c | 99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfac…75debacked Over | 44c | 87.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 51.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Over | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 38c | 40.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Under | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Under | 62c | 37.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 61c | 29.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Under | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Over | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Under | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Over | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Under | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Under | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Under | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ca…eb95backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Under | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Under | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Under | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Under | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Under | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Suns: O/U 214.5this page
- Cam Thomas: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Nets vs. SunsSuns won
- Nets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Nets vs. Suns: O/U 210.5Under won
- Nets vs. Suns: O/U 211.5Under won
- Nets vs. Suns: O/U 212.5Under won
- Nets vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Under won
- Spread: Suns (-8.5)Nets won
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.