TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Suns: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,671 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over46c14,638$6,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,709.8954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Under50c9,736$4,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,841.887638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over40c7,024$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c5,584$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.964,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under64c3,721$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.931,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c3,512$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c2,991$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.866,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under54c2,629$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.423,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1251,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under55c2,339$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.5585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Under50c2,280$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14018536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c1,960$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.362,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under51c1,956$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.5312855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over52c1,800$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92749938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c1,385$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.362,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55232051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Over46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5528339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over49c827.75$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.873,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over32c780.89$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.163,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Under68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2912865.6%84 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over45c573.21$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26015543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over46c431.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under62c427.05$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.8124846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over49c410.98$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7219434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under57c409.35$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.642,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Over48c393.39$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18813354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c335.11$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee2…8a14backed Over51c296.74$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c284.66$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.494,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under51c284.31$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3122953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Under53c240.25$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.596541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over51c204.75$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4236453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9666143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under54c195.45$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.822,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over49c181.63$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Over45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under67c180$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.316052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed84…09d3backed Over46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c120.87$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.73,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under59c120.63$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.383,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Over45c116$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.26154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Over45c110.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.597851.3%40 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa843…8c8bbacked Over47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.71442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.092,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over49c102.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9916347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Over45c92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.46349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Over49c83.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.14445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over45c81.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8943244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under55c81.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8250351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over45c70.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over32c67.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.953,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under65c55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.31,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5f…08afbacked Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd023…8e17backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c4…1a9cbacked Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over46c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8453839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Under74c54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411356.6%64 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.35058%29 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over54c51.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8535747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over51c50.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7117243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.523047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2714636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Under64c45.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.373930.8%12 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3174…b136backed Under63c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Under55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.255253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Under80c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under62c43.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6719232.8%63 W · 129 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29fe…74e1backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea20…18fabacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c61…4742backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00cb…6b5dbacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b5a…0849backed Under56c41.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.441250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…241bbacked Over52c38.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.224546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb6…3642backed Over46c30.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb717…a67fbacked Under55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11a4…bbe8backed Under55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed Under55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c6…f8afbacked Under55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f3…39ccbacked Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Under55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b1…614cbacked Under55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Under55c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.052152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x571c…0bb5backed Under49c27.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.057058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Under55c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.74850%24 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under56c25.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.241,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4422…4284backed Under56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83831.6%12 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed Under55c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.353138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe829…a4aabacked Under55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92425%6 W · 18 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Under55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.93053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under59c17.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0654549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.