NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Suns: O/U 211.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f37a8f6a420fe7247c58942c63cb526e498b2eca9b0dba0adc17385b62f8866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 93,741$44,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,995.65 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 52c | 75,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,000 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 17,804$9,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,546.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Over | 48c | 6,306$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,726$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Under | 52c | 1,438$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.24 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 1,345$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 1,259$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.22 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 1,243$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.35 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 52c | 1,043$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.54 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 948.78$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 803$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.44 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 370.22$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 52c | 324.1$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.1 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 47c | 212.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 191$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 48c | 139.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 114.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Under | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Under | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 53c | 78.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…4729backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Over | 48c | 35.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Under | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 31.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 53c | 31.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…5ca7backed Under | 53c | 29.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Under | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…7d6fbacked Under | 53c | 21.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Suns: O/U 211.5this page
- Cam Thomas: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Nets vs. SunsSuns won
- Nets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Nets vs. Suns: O/U 210.5Under won
- Nets vs. Suns: O/U 212.5Under won
- Nets vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Under won
- Nets vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Under won
- Spread: Suns (-8.5)Nets won
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.