TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Suns, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$519,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$542,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,774 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Nets52c197,089$101,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,143.266841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns48c62,784$29,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,892.781,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Suns49c61,224$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Suns48c33,690$16,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,171.0939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Suns51c31,779$16,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,342.2940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Suns49c29,037$14,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,260.252,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Suns50c25,160$12,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,580.0120055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Nets49c20,214$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,214.1276746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.981,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Nets51c19,911$10,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,800.8825753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns50c15,128$7,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,614.072,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Nets50c14,452$7,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,226.142648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Nets50c13,954$6,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9775437%20 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Suns49c12,784$6,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,227.3454246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Suns48c12,500$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Nets52c11,761$6,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,672.7259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Nets50c11,648$5,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,846.241,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets51c11,319$5,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,578.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Suns47c10,560$4,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,963.224045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Suns49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Suns51c9,446$4,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,830.821,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Suns50c8,037$4,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,018.5917250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Nets50c7,208$3,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.9724450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets52c6,793$3,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.663,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Nets50c6,435$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,217.4538253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Suns50c5,833$2,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.352,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Nets50c5,600$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.1249246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Suns49c5,510$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Suns48c5,477$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,62912454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Nets49c5,047$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.226949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Suns51c4,941$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Suns47c4,200$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Suns49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Suns50c3,998$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.1287750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Nets48c3,701$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.5219647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Suns48c3,475$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.681,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Suns51c3,137$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60010252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Suns43c2,729$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.861,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Suns48c2,694$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.861,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns49c2,480$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.244,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Suns49c2,440$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.130146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Suns42c2,376$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.072,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns19c2,352$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd29c…d4efbacked Suns51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a0…43cfbacked Nets49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b8…e3dabacked Suns51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…92f4backed Suns51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb340…58c9backed Nets49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8367…90e9backed Nets49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0711637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd499…c6b7backed Nets49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf84b…3f64backed Suns51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…74c2backed Suns51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa93d…db7dbacked Nets49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0711729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5650…ce21backed Suns51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f6…00f6backed Nets49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets50c2,084$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.773,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Nets50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Suns51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Suns51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Suns1c1,951$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.511,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Nets53c1,836$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.954841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd56d…bd7dbacked Suns47c1,800$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8468647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Suns48c1,713$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.241,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets49c1,697$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.043,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Nets48c1,436$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.387851.3%40 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Nets47c1,400$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.182442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Suns49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Suns54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.748137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets48c997.74$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.825,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Suns53c980.39$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.616650%33 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns49c850$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns48c713.17$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Suns51c705.88$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36023845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Suns49c674$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.6319350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Suns47c653.19$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30717953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb28…3750backed Suns51c648.35$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec5…65ecbacked Nets53c561.38$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.167838.5%30 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58e5…cf86backed Nets49c502.04$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.04887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick50cpaid+74.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Nets52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24021743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Suns65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32548957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Suns44c491.27$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.483,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Suns47c469.99$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22322138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Suns48c410$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.81,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Nets50c401.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.581,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Suns51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20411843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed Suns48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Suns48c395.83$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb194…7ac3backed Nets48c387.5$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Nets52c362.74$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1519434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets50c341.75$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.239,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Suns48c336.88$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.718043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Nets49c318.37$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3725951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Nets50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010445.2%47 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Suns52c278.29$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5635747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Nets50c250.16$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1618852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Suns15c227.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5424846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Suns49c224.08$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2710953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Suns50c205.39$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.743244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Nets49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0863447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.