TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Suns: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under52c79,783$41,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,691.2640446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over50c26,078$13,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,038.7554539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c22,266$10,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,648.042,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over48c21,409$10,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,276.2124650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Over49c19,500$9,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,554.985139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c12,452$5,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,936.964,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under52c9,827$5,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,716.7956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under51c9,499$4,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,654.3958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under52c8,668$4,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,158.361,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under52c7,112$3,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,432.9165750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c7,000$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,429.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5c…36f0backed Over49c6,806$3,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3352955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c6,450$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.949,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under51c5,086$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.143,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50039842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under51c4,376$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.1519954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c3,579$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c3,483$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.772,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c2,714$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.244,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c2,700$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34449246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c2,565$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c2,333$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under52c2,180$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.492,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c2,143$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.313,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over49c2,135$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04626949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Under51c2,110$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.911048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x185c…fa2fbacked Over51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7397…860cbacked Over51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e27…3cccbacked Under49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2f…aa56backed Under49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e8…29f1backed Under49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0711526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b1f…c37dbacked Under49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e5…eec3backed Over51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa817…6313backed Over51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over49c2,039$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99948546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c2,028$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.335,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Over51c1,951$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.533740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over49c1,947$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95433447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,894$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.513,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,531$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.3750754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76527051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c1,280$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Under54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3684146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over42c796.27$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.833,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c698.76$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.381,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Over50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27517041.8%71 W · 99 L-12.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c471.34$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.953,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c464.71$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23737747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over49c448.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over52c435.33$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1535747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Over71c422.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012865.6%84 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c389$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.612,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under52c355$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.423946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c338$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.621,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Over50c250.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3710957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under51c221.57$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5712540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df8…3ee8backed Under51c204.02$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.025952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017940.2%72 W · 107 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0865649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under52c186.3$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4276250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over48c160.1$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5253043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c118.81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.412,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516847.1%32 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c101$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7a…3accbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018825%47 W · 141 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4937357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015161.6%93 W · 58 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff6…5dbdbacked Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b9…d090backed Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over50c78.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c6…5004backed Under52c76.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.553441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Over48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3616549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Under52c72.86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0719649%96 W · 100 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb423…3562backed Over50c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Under53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.913050.8%66 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Under52c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6442143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024253.3%129 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2696…c031backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Over48c59.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5611444.7%51 W · 63 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4228243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.