TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Vancouver: Nao Hibino vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mananchaya Sawangkaewof Nao Hibino, Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,003

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,260 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4be1…aa70backed Nao Hibino39c215,620$84,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,444.6510146.5%47 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew61c119,998$72,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,398.881,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew62c62,992$39,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,816.858,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew60c12,954$7,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,138.483,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew72c6,755$4,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.394,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew62c5,806$3,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.93,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nao Hibino37c4,284$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.1711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew77c2,389$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.285,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Nao Hibino32c2,071$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.621,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Nao Hibino12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24074743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew68c1,702$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.783,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Nao Hibino17c1,362$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.421,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew68c1,241$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.18,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Nao Hibino10c1,084$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Nao Hibino40c873.78$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35067239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nao Hibino34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2389,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Nao Hibino37c675.81$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011435.1%40 W · 74 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Nao Hibino24c422.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nao Hibino13c316.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.434,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Nao Hibino37c308.11$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1439157.8%226 W · 165 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew66c292.4$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8695050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew77c227.14$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3438066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce7…0eebbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew76c224.21$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.21862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick76cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Nao Hibino38c215.53$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.936557.3%209 W · 156 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Nao Hibino24c206.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017936.9%66 W · 113 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2930647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf806…1980backed Nao Hibino34c160.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Nao Hibino34c158.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0321743.8%95 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nao Hibino12c157.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.642,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f4…82ebbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.938140.7%33 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…a7e1backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew66c136.36$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+163.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Nao Hibino38c135.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8823530.2%71 W · 164 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew79c135$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3592674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew78c120$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.633062.7%207 W · 123 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew68c114.06$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew69c109.03$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5333165%215 W · 116 L+22.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Nao Hibino35c109$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1597852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Nao Hibino30c104.37$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.311,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3527437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Nao Hibino32c99.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9993945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Nao Hibino31c92.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.817,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew72c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.894447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Nao Hibino32c89.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7963537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f4…335fbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew68c87.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6324274%179 W · 63 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew75c85.53$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.631,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa1…2c8abacked Nao Hibino36c83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.886352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew72c80.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew69c79.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0152739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x849c…0d78backed Nao Hibino33c73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0910958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew69c73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.491,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew74c67.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5621745.2%98 W · 119 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aca…e738backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew70c67.34$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2511861%72 W · 46 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Nao Hibino31c64.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nao Hibino19c58.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.946,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d3…5651backed Nao Hibino35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Nao Hibino25c53.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.282,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nao Hibino23c51.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.96,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765b…5043backed Nao Hibino39c51.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Nao Hibino32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522235.1%78 W · 144 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6739648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Nao Hibino33c40.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.241,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew67c39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.871,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew71c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4436954.2%200 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew75c35.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7660452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew68c35.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.292,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff0…0a65backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew63c35.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.047943%34 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Nao Hibino34c31.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5535357.2%202 W · 151 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…9481backed Nao Hibino32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.062,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe772…10aabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew80c24.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+60.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…d7b5backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.252552.4%275 W · 250 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422230.6%68 W · 154 L-25.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6f92…7379backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew63c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.418068.9%124 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7127…c7a2backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew75c19.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.966451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew80c16.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2769047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew79c16.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3537547.2%177 W · 198 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew74c16.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.245564.6%294 W · 161 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.