Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wetzlar: Patrick Zahraj vs Vincent Marysko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52159d1fa2004881138c7d6320508ba3c2130ff42f4746e1ef6daadaaed709d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vincent Maryskoof Patrick Zahraj, Vincent Marysko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Vincent Marysko | 52c | 2,253$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.88 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Patrick Zahraj | 35c | 510$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.4 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vincent Marysko | 42c | 496.55$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Patrick Zahraj | 51c | 384.44$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Patrick Zahraj | 51c | 328.71$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Patrick Zahraj | 67c | 301.51$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 166 | 67.5%112 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Patrick Zahraj | 42c | 240.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Patrick Zahraj | 42c | 239$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Patrick Zahraj | 42c | 214.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Vincent Marysko | 48c | 184.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Vincent Marysko | 49c | 144$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Patrick Zahraj | 31c | 132.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Patrick Zahraj | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Patrick Zahraj | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Vincent Marysko | 47c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Patrick Zahraj | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Patrick Zahraj | 42c | 73.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Patrick Zahraj | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Vincent Marysko | 60c | 67.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Vincent Marysko | 68c | 62.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Patrick Zahraj | 66c | 61.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Vincent Marysko | 64c | 59.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Patrick Zahraj | 47c | 55.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Vincent Marysko | 52c | 54.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Patrick Zahraj | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed Patrick Zahraj | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Patrick Zahraj | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vincent Marysko | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Vincent Marysko | 48c | 45.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Patrick Zahraj | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Vincent Marysko | 34c | 38.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Patrick Zahraj | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Patrick Zahraj | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vincent Marysko | 69c | 34.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Patrick Zahraj | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vincent Marysko | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vincent Marysko | 69c | 23.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Vincent Marysko | 48c | 21.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Patrick Zahraj | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.