Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53477980b6fb9c852901d21bc384cff66ae19593f08fd805bc24148f6615b677
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 27,734$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c5…eab5backed Yes | 10c | 3,987$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 9c | 2,411$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 9c | 2,406$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.63 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 5c | 1,986$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 1c | 1,222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…0040backed Yes | 9c | 1,168$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,154$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,075$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 9c | 1,026$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,022$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…d7ecbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes | 10c | 925.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 8c | 597.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…bf33backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 10c | 481.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2d…c17ebacked Yes | 9c | 440$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 8c | 388.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 10c | 359.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…0a99backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 321.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…04adbacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cf…6b4dbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes | 9c | 260.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…8c02backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 10c | 194.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c7…6021backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 25.3%47 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…5efebacked Yes | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc61…bc17backed Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…7862backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…0557backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 9.3%8 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…964abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d4…7425backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…5dd4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 12.7%22 W · 151 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f80…9b09backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…3b1bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7695backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc162…40bbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…956ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…85f4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08bd…9526backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x311c…80b9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…bc89backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 9.2%14 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…38adbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland?Yes won
- Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 0 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 2 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 3 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 0 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 1 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 2 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 3 Scotland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.