Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24828c659b0d3e2a63c60094c4eaec0dd642d67f0b62a44709a0c092d089d697
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 39,461$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 11c | 4,956$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.16 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 3,983$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.16 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…e917backed Yes | 15c | 3,118$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.91 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,789$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.62 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 11c | 1,764$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…450fbacked Yes | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…0040backed Yes | 12c | 920.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 12c | 840$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 8c | 670.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 13c | 599.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…b882backed Yes | 10c | 540$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 523.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 14c | 508$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b28…0ed2backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…6886backed Yes | 13c | 462.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…bf33backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…e789backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +14.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 11c | 400.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f79…9290backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…45d8backed Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 10c | 326.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 11c | 308.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b19…d41abacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60f…f17cbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…fd5abacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…99eabacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…0670backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 14.9%17 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…b161backed Yes | 12c | 233.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…6ae0backed Yes | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…6ef8backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2d…c17ebacked Yes | 11c | 219.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…fb84backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…6db5backed Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…a9b2backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…5efebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3efb…c3cdbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 6c | 164.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes | 11c | 163.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 11c | 163.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ded1backed Yes | 13c | 161.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 12c | 158.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e9…00f8backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f840backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…f23cbacked Yes | 13c | 149.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437d…6c11backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 126.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…db4ebacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9672…c9b0backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…8686backed Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…8a02backed Yes | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…5c5ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…3948backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…99a6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…cdf1backed Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Yes | 12c | 85.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 285 | 45.6%130 W · 155 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…2098backed Yes | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland?Yes won
- Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 0 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 2 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 3 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 0 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 1 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 2 Scotland?No won
- Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 3 Scotland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.