MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x539b98c7dd9d18476be315e22fe1b68bfc559e1fb5c1d889e3fc3f6260919df7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof NC Dinos, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked NC Dinos | 28c | 2,967$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.09 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 1,366$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 72c | 1,293$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 1,292$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 40c | 1,021$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.57 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NC Dinos | 3c | 968$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NC Dinos | 8c | 782.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 17c | 681.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NC Dinos | 10c | 624$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Doosan Bears | 78c | 577.45$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.45 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed NC Dinos | 26c | 516.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.07 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed NC Dinos | 41c | 380.95$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.24 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed NC Dinos | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 41c | 288$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed NC Dinos | 47c | 229.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked NC Dinos | 43c | 224.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 224$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed NC Dinos | 15c | 222.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 221.61$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 35c | 139.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed NC Dinos | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 41c | 110.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked NC Dinos | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NC Dinos | 14c | 96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 78.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked NC Dinos | 41c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed NC Dinos | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked NC Dinos | 41c | 69.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked NC Dinos | 40c | 65.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked NC Dinos | 32c | 61.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed NC Dinos | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed NC Dinos | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 51.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed NC Dinos | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked NC Dinos | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed NC Dinos | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed NC Dinos | 41c | 47.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Doosan Bears | 74c | 40.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed NC Dinos | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed NC Dinos | 41c | 27.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed NC Dinos | 41c | 27.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 23.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.