Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Maria Kalyakina vs Alina Tikhonova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53d7c5da3db9618287be4652bd211d4562f763205133352026d7375382d90b75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alina Tikhonovaof Maria Kalyakina, Alina Tikhonova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Maria Kalyakina | 38c | 51,176$19,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,216.93 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alina Tikhonova | 58c | 22,424$13,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,347.52 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alina Tikhonova | 63c | 10,024$6,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.44 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Alina Tikhonova | 70c | 5,903$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.77 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alina Tikhonova | 61c | 3,676$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.31 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alina Tikhonova | 75c | 2,793$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.23 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Maria Kalyakina | 40c | 2,325$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.8 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alina Tikhonova | 62c | 1,635$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.68 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Alina Tikhonova | 69c | 1,050$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 652 | 46.3%302 W · 350 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Maria Kalyakina | 49c | 766.08$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Kalyakina | 36c | 543.91$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Alina Tikhonova | 74c | 503$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.26 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alina Tikhonova | 64c | 388.66$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Alina Tikhonova | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Alina Tikhonova | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alina Tikhonova | 71c | 378$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Alina Tikhonova | 60c | 281.05$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 892 | 63.8%569 W · 323 L | +62.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Alina Tikhonova | 52c | 262.75$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Alina Tikhonova | 68c | 251.53$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alina Tikhonova | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Alina Tikhonova | 41c | 219.93$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 669 | 38.9%260 W · 409 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alina Tikhonova | 69c | 205.52$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Alina Tikhonova | 54c | 185.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Alina Tikhonova | 55c | 185.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alina Tikhonova | 51c | 156.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Alina Tikhonova | 75c | 149$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Maria Kalyakina | 20c | 135$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 932 | 58.5%545 W · 387 L | +22.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Alina Tikhonova | 74c | 134.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Alina Tikhonova | 64c | 77.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 331 | 64%212 W · 119 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Alina Tikhonova | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Alina Tikhonova | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Alina Tikhonova | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Maria Kalyakina | 37c | 57.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Alina Tikhonova | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 557 | 53.7%299 W · 258 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Alina Tikhonova | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Alina Tikhonova | 75c | 49.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alina Tikhonova | 43c | 49.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Alina Tikhonova | 75c | 47.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Alina Tikhonova | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Alina Tikhonova | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Maria Kalyakina | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Alina Tikhonova | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alina Tikhonova | 73c | 38.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Alina Tikhonova | 67c | 36.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Alina Tikhonova | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alina Tikhonova | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Alina Tikhonova | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Alina Tikhonova | 75c | 23.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa276…dcfabacked Alina Tikhonova | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Alina Tikhonova | 80c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Alina Tikhonova | 75c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Alina Tikhonova | 60c | 18.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Alina Tikhonova | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Alina Tikhonova | 67c | 16.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Alina Tikhonova | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Alina Tikhonova | 74c | 14.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.