Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x543d204be4f7cbf303947271242f41085e91c194704ade4ff25f02882d0a77f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 27,724$3,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.25 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 2,094$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.66 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 1,800$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 1,593$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 1,550$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 1,379$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.06 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PARIVISION | 78c | 1,251$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.88 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,212$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.04 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 1,105$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.71 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 1,072$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.62 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 992.31$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 829.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked PARIVISION | 76c | 499.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…b8ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 2c | 475$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 358.72$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 355.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 353.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 333.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed PARIVISION | 79c | 315.5$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 308.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 77c | 129.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 125.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…1fc4backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 87.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 81.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 62.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 56.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…abfebacked PARIVISION | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed PARIVISION | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed PARIVISION | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked PARIVISION | 78c | 23.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…868bbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 313 | 57.2%179 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed PARIVISION | 77c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed PARIVISION | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.